Abbvie Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 143.33  1.34  0.94%   

Abbvie Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Abbvie shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Abbvie's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Abbvie and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Abbvie's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Abbvie Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Abbvie Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Abbvie based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Abbvie stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Abbvie over a specific investment horizon.Using Abbvie hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abbvie Inc from the perspective of Abbvie response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Abbvie using Abbvie's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Abbvie using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Abbvie's stock price.

Abbvie Implied Volatility

Abbvie's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Abbvie Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Abbvie's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Abbvie stock will not fluctuate a lot when Abbvie's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Abbvie. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Abbvie to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Abbvie because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Abbvie after-hype prediction price

  $ 142.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Abbvie contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Abbvie Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.27% per day over the life of the 2022-10-07 option contract. With Abbvie trading at $143.33, that is roughly $3.25. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Abbvie's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Abbvie Inc options at the current volatility level of 36.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Abbvie's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Abbvie in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
13 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Abbvie. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Abbvie's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Abbvie's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Abbvie Inc.

Abbvie After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Abbvie at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abbvie or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Abbvie, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Abbvie Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Abbvie's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abbvie's historical news coverage. Abbvie's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 141.05 and 144.15, respectively. We have considered Abbvie's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 143.33
After-hype Price
Abbvie is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Abbvie Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Abbvie Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Abbvie is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abbvie backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abbvie, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08  1.55  0.03   0.17  10 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Abbvie Hype Timeline

Abbvie Inc is presently traded for 143.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Abbvie is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 142.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.03% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Abbvie is about 73.81% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 143.5. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 57.35 B. Net Income was 12.56 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 38.88 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Please continue to Abbvie Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Abbvie Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Abbvie's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abbvie's future price movements. Getting to know how Abbvie rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abbvie may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
AMZNAmazon Inc 2.10 11 per month 2.37  0.08  4.00 (3.62)  17.42 

Abbvie Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Abbvie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abbvie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abbvie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Abbvie Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Abbvie stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Abbvie Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Abbvie based on analysis of Abbvie hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Abbvie's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Abbvie's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Abbvie

The number of cover stories for Abbvie depends on current market conditions and Abbvie's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abbvie is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abbvie's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Abbvie Short Properties

Abbvie's future price predictability will typically decrease when Abbvie's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Abbvie Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abbvie's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abbvie's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.79%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.66
Short Percent Of Float0.79%
Float Shares1.77B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day6.84M
Shares Short Prior Month13.52M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month5.55M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.58%
Please continue to Abbvie Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Abbvie Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Abbvie's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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Is Abbvie's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Abbvie. If investors know Abbvie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Abbvie listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Abbvie Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Abbvie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Abbvie's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Abbvie's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Abbvie's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Abbvie's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Abbvie's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Abbvie value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Abbvie's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.