American Stock Future Price Prediction

AAT
 Stock
  

USD 27.95  0.45  1.58%   

American Assets Trust stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of American Assets shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of American Assets' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of American Assets and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from American Assets' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Assets Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to American Assets Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of American Assets based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The American stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Assets over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.27
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.14
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.68
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.76
Wall Street Target Price
33.75
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.15
Using American Assets hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Assets Trust from the perspective of American Assets response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Assets using American Assets' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Assets' stock price.
American Assets Current Ratio is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. American Assets reported Current Ratio of 3.17 in 2021. Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to gain to 1.52 in 2022, whereas Total Assets Per Share are likely to drop 42.61 in 2022.

American Assets Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in American Assets' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards American. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of American Assets stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long American Assets may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about American Assets and may potentially protect profits, hedge American Assets with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
31.11
Short Percent
0.0228
Short Ratio
1.92
Shares Short Prior Month
916.8 K
50 Day MA
26.85
Shares Short
666.4 K

American Assets Trust Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to American Assets' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Assets Trust. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Assets' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Assets.

American Assets Implied Volatility

    
  48.86  
American Assets' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Assets Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Assets' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Assets stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Assets' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in American Assets. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Assets to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

American Assets after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Assets' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American Assets in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
25.1632.9335.00
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
34.5038.5044.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.931.941.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American Assets. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American Assets' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American Assets' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in American Assets Trust.

American Assets After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American Assets at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Assets or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Assets, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

American Assets Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American Assets' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Assets' historical news coverage. American Assets' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.91 and 30.05, respectively. We have considered American Assets' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 27.95
27.98
After-hype Price
30.05
Upside
American Assets is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Assets Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Assets Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as American Assets is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Assets backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Assets, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.06  2.07  0.02   0.01  7 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.9527.980.11 
713.79  

American Assets Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of December American Assets Trust is traded for 27.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. American is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 27.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.11% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on American Assets is about 2365.71% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 27.96. The company reported the last year's revenue of 375.83 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 36.59 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 247.83 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Please continue to American Assets Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Assets Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American Assets' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Assets' future price movements. Getting to know how American Assets rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Assets may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

American Assets Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About American Assets Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American Assets stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Assets Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Assets based on analysis of American Assets hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Assets's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Assets's related companies.
 2019 2020 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.031.111.52
Interest Coverage2.131.671.59

Story Coverage note for American Assets

The number of cover stories for American Assets depends on current market conditions and American Assets' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Assets is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Assets' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

American Assets Short Properties

American Assets' future price predictability will typically decrease when American Assets' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Assets Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Assets' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Assets' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76119763.00
Cash And Short Term Investments139524000.00
Please continue to American Assets Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the American Assets Trust information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Assets' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running American Assets Trust price analysis, check to measure American Assets' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Assets is operating at the current time. Most of American Assets' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Assets' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Assets' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Assets to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Assets' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Assets. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Assets listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.27
Market Capitalization
2.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.13
Return On Assets
0.0234
Return On Equity
0.0447
The market value of American Assets Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Assets' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Assets' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Assets' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Assets' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Assets' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine American Assets value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Assets' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.