Urban Stock Performance

URBN
 Stock
  

USD 22.81  0.52  2.33%   

The entity has a beta of 1.5388, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Urban's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Urban Outfitters will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Urban Outfitters current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Our philosophy towards measuring any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Urban Outfitters exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Urban Outfitters has an expected return of -0.0088%. Please be advised to validate Urban Outfitters value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and skewness to decide if Urban Outfitters performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
  
Urban Performance
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Over the last 90 days Urban Outfitters has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Urban Outfitters is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Structure and Payout Changes

Last Split Factor
2:1
Last Split Date
2005-09-26

Urban Price Channel

Quick Ratio0.39
Fifty Two Week Low17.81
Target High Price34.00
Fifty Two Week High41.03
Target Low Price19.00

Urban Outfitters Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,363  in Urban Outfitters on May 17, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (130.00)  from holding Urban Outfitters or give up 5.5% of portfolio value over 90 days. Urban Outfitters is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.0816% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Urban, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Daily Expected Return (%)  
       Risk (%)  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Urban Outfitters is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.26 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly 0.05 per unit of volatility.

Urban Outfitters Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Urban Outfitters' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Urban Outfitters, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Urban Outfitters' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0022

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Estimated Market Risk
 4.08
  actual daily
 
 35 %
of total potential
 
3535
Expected Return
 -0.01
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 0 %
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Risk-Adjusted Return
 0.0
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Based on monthly moving average Urban Outfitters is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Urban Outfitters by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Urban Outfitters Performance

To evaluate Urban Outfitters Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Urban Outfitters generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Urban Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Urban Outfitters stock market performance in a much more refined way. At Macroaxis, we take it even further. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Urban's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash-3.6 M-3.7 M
Return on Investment 25.35  27.02 
Return on Average Assets 8.47  10.71 
Return on Average Equity 19.27  19.22 
Return on Invested Capital 0.28  0.32 
Return on Sales 0.12  0.14 
Urban Outfitters, Inc. engages in the retail and wholesale of general consumer products. The company was founded in 1970 and is based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Urban Outfitters operates under Apparel Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 9660 people.

Things to note about Urban Outfitters

Checking the ongoing alerts about Urban Outfitters for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Urban Outfitters help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Urban Outfitters Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Urban Outfitters generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Urban Outfitters has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Urban Outfitters has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.barchart.com: Unusual Options Activity 5 Calls That Grabbed My Attention This Week - Barchart
Also, please take a look at World Market Map. Note that the Urban Outfitters information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Urban Outfitters' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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When running Urban Outfitters price analysis, check to measure Urban Outfitters' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Urban Outfitters is operating at the current time. Most of Urban Outfitters' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Urban Outfitters' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Urban Outfitters' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Urban Outfitters to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Urban Outfitters' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban Outfitters. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban Outfitters listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.39
Market Capitalization
2.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.13
Return On Assets
0.066
Return On Equity
0.18
The market value of Urban Outfitters is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban Outfitters' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban Outfitters' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban Outfitters' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban Outfitters' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban Outfitters' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Urban Outfitters value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban Outfitters' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.