United Stock Performance

UPS
 Stock
  

USD 182.52  0.32  0.17%   

The entity has a beta of 1.0243, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what United's beta means in this case. United Parcel returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, United Parcel is expected to follow. Even though it is essential to pay attention to United Parcel Service current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Our philosophy towards measuring any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. United Parcel Service exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. United Parcel Service has an expected return of -0.0892%. Please be advised to validate United Parcel maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price to decide if United Parcel Service performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
  
United Performance
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Over the last 90 days United Parcel Service has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, United Parcel is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more

Structure and Payout Changes

Forward Annual Dividend Yield
0.0333
Payout Ratio
0.47
Forward Annual Dividend Rate
6.08
Dividend Date
2022-12-01
Ex Dividend Date
2022-11-10

United Price Channel

Quick Ratio1.28
Fifty Two Week Low154.87
Target High Price251.00
Fifty Two Week High233.72
Payout Ratio43.73%
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.05%
Target Low Price100.00

United Parcel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  19,553  in United Parcel Service on August 28, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (1,301)  from holding United Parcel Service or give up 6.65% of portfolio value over 90 days. United Parcel Service is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.9268% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than United, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Daily Expected Return (%)  
       Risk (%)  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon United Parcel is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

United Parcel Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for United Parcel's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as United Parcel Service, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a United Parcel's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0463

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Negative ReturnsUPS
Estimated Market Risk
 1.93
  actual daily
 
 16 %
of total potential
 
1616
Expected Return
 -0.09
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
00
Risk-Adjusted Return
 -0.05
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
00
Based on monthly moving average United Parcel is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of United Parcel by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About United Parcel Performance

To evaluate United Parcel Service Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when United Parcel generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare United Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand United Parcel Service market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents United's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash-24.1 M-24.8 M
Return on Investment 42.19  36.05 
Return on Average Assets 19.56  21.10 
Return on Average Equity 172.90  162.11 
Return on Invested Capital 0.18  0.19 
Return on Sales 0.10  0.12 

Things to note about United Parcel Service

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Parcel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for United Parcel Service help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

United Parcel Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

United Parcel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Kevin Warsh of 174 shares of United Parcel subject to Rule 16b-3
Also, please take a look at World Market Map. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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When running United Parcel Service price analysis, check to measure United Parcel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Parcel is operating at the current time. Most of United Parcel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Parcel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Parcel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Parcel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is United Parcel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Parcel. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Parcel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.12
Market Capitalization
158.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.042
Return On Assets
0.13
Return On Equity
0.77
The market value of United Parcel Service is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Parcel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Parcel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Parcel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Parcel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Parcel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine United Parcel value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Parcel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.