Ulta Beauty Stock Performance

ULTA
 Stock
  

USD 409.21  15.10  3.83%   

Ulta Beauty has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.8984, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Ulta Beauty's beta means in this case. Ulta Beauty returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ulta Beauty is expected to follow. Although it is important to respect Ulta Beauty current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Ulta Beauty technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.11% will be sustainable into the future. Ulta Beauty right now has a risk of 1.8%. Please validate Ulta Beauty jensen alpha, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and skewness to decide if Ulta Beauty will be following its existing price patterns.
  
Ulta Beauty Performance
4 of 100
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ulta Beauty are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Ulta Beauty may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in October 2022. ...more

Ulta Beauty Price Channel

Quick Ratio0.53
Fifty Two Week Low330.80
Target High Price548.00
Fifty Two Week High451.30
Target Low Price390.00

Ulta Beauty Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  38,548  in Ulta Beauty on June 30, 2022 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,373  from holding Ulta Beauty or generate 6.16% return on investment over 90 days. Ulta Beauty is currently generating 0.1108% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.7973% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than Ulta Beauty, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Daily Expected Return (%)  
       Risk (%)  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ulta Beauty is expected to generate 1.59 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly -0.05 per unit of risk.

Ulta Beauty Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ulta Beauty's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Ulta Beauty, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Ulta Beauty's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0617

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Estimated Market Risk
 1.8
  actual daily
 
 15 %
of total potential
 
1515
Expected Return
 0.11
  actual daily
 
 2 %
of total potential
 
22
Risk-Adjusted Return
 0.06
  actual daily
 
 4 %
of total potential
 
44
Based on monthly moving average Ulta Beauty is performing at about 4% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Ulta Beauty by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Ulta Beauty Performance

To evaluate Ulta Beauty Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Ulta Beauty generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Ulta Beauty Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Ulta Beauty market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Ulta Beauty's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a retailer of beauty products in the United States. Ulta Beauty, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois. Ulta Beauty operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 16500 people.

Things to note about Ulta Beauty

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ulta Beauty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ulta Beauty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Ulta Beauty Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ulta Beauty is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Marathon Petroleum, Albemarle, HF Sinclair, Ulta Beauty, and Carlisle Companies - Nasdaq
Also, please take a look at World Market Map. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Ulta Beauty price analysis, check to measure Ulta Beauty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ulta Beauty is operating at the current time. Most of Ulta Beauty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ulta Beauty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ulta Beauty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ulta Beauty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ulta Beauty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ulta Beauty. If investors know Ulta Beauty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ulta Beauty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ulta Beauty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ulta Beauty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ulta Beauty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ulta Beauty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ulta Beauty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ulta Beauty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ulta Beauty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ulta Beauty value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ulta Beauty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.