Scotts Stock Performance

SMG
 Stock
  

USD 55.55  0.17  0.31%   

The entity has a beta of 1.5859, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Scotts's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Scotts Miracle-Gro will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Scotts Miracle-Gro current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Our philosophy towards measuring any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Scotts Miracle-Gro exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Scotts Miracle-Gro has an expected return of -0.28%. Please be advised to validate Scotts Miracle-Gro variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Scotts Miracle-Gro performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
  
Scotts Performance
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Over the last 90 days Scotts Miracle-Gro has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of sluggish performance in the last few months, the Stock's primary indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in December 2022. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Structure and Payout Changes

Forward Annual Dividend Yield
0.0475
Payout Ratio
0.65
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Annual Dividend Rate
2.64
Dividend Date
2022-12-09
Ex Dividend Date
2022-11-25

Scotts Price Channel

Quick Ratio0.92
Fifty Two Week Low39.06
Target High Price100.00
Fifty Two Week High167.09
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.24%
Target Low Price48.00

Scotts Miracle-Gro Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,983  in Scotts Miracle-Gro on August 28, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (1,428)  from holding Scotts Miracle-Gro or give up 20.45% of portfolio value over 90 days. Scotts Miracle-Gro is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.8986% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 33% of stocks are less volatile than Scotts, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Daily Expected Return (%)  
       Risk (%)  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Scotts Miracle-Gro is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.84 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Scotts Miracle-Gro's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Scotts Miracle-Gro, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Scotts Miracle-Gro's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0725

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Estimated Market Risk
 3.9
  actual daily
 
 33 %
of total potential
 
3333
Expected Return
 -0.28
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
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Risk-Adjusted Return
 -0.07
  actual daily
 
 0 %
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Based on monthly moving average Scotts Miracle-Gro is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Scotts Miracle-Gro by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Scotts Miracle-Gro Performance

To evaluate Scotts Miracle-Gro Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Scotts Miracle-Gro generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Scotts Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Scotts Miracle-Gro market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Scotts's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash-2.4 M-2.5 M
Return on Investment 30.09  28.00 
Return on Average Assets 11.28  9.71 
Return on Average Equity 53.93  43.98 
Return on Invested Capital 0.16  0.14 
Return on Sales 0.16  0.17 

Things to note about Scotts Miracle-Gro

Checking the ongoing alerts about Scotts Miracle-Gro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Scotts Miracle-Gro help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Scotts Miracle-Gro Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Scotts Miracle-Gro generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Scotts Miracle-Gro has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.17 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (266.2 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.49 B.
Scotts Miracle-Gro has about 35.8 M in cash with (201 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.65.
Roughly 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: This Insider Has Just Sold Shares In The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company - Simply Wall St
Additionally, take a look at World Market Map. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Scotts Miracle-Gro price analysis, check to measure Scotts Miracle-Gro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Scotts Miracle-Gro is operating at the current time. Most of Scotts Miracle-Gro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Scotts Miracle-Gro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Scotts Miracle-Gro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Scotts Miracle-Gro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Scotts Miracle-Gro's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Scotts Miracle-Gro. If investors know Scotts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Scotts Miracle-Gro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.09) 
Market Capitalization
3.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.33) 
Return On Assets
0.0576
Return On Equity
(0.75) 
The market value of Scotts Miracle-Gro is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Scotts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Scotts Miracle-Gro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Scotts Miracle-Gro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Scotts Miracle-Gro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Scotts Miracle-Gro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Scotts Miracle-Gro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Scotts Miracle-Gro value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scotts Miracle-Gro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.