Kirklands Stock Performance

KIRK
 Stock
  

USD 3.84  0.03  0.79%   

Kirklands has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.7415, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Kirklands's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Kirklands will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Kirklands price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical price patterns. The philosophy towards estimating future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Kirklands technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.14% will be sustainable into the future. Kirklands right now secures a risk of 4.54%. Please verify Kirklands variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Kirklands will be following its current price movements.
  
Kirklands Performance
2 of 100
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Kirklands are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unfluctuating basic indicators, Kirklands may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2023. ...more

Structure and Payout Changes

Dividend Date
2015-06-19
Ex Dividend Date
2015-06-03

Kirklands Price Channel

Begin Period Cash Flow100337000.00
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-7060000.00

Kirklands Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  374.00  in Kirklands on September 4, 2022 and sell it today you would earn a total of  10.00  from holding Kirklands or generate 2.67% return on investment over 90 days. Kirklands is currently generating 0.1423% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.5409% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 39% of stocks are less volatile than Kirklands, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Daily Expected Return (%)  
       Risk (%)  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kirklands is expected to generate 3.04 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Kirklands Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kirklands' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Kirklands, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Kirklands' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0313

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Estimated Market Risk
 4.54
  actual daily
 
 39 %
of total potential
 
3939
Expected Return
 0.14
  actual daily
 
 2 %
of total potential
 
22
Risk-Adjusted Return
 0.03
  actual daily
 
 2 %
of total potential
 
22
Based on monthly moving average Kirklands is performing at about 2% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Kirklands by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Kirklands Performance

To evaluate Kirklands Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Kirklands generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Kirklands Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Kirklands market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Kirklands's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment 23.01  21.72 
Return on Average Assets 8.26  7.89 
Return on Average Equity 14.31  12.95 
Return on Invested Capital 0.08  0.18 
Return on Sales 0.046  0.05 

Things to note about Kirklands

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kirklands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Kirklands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Kirklands Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Kirklands has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Kirklands currently holds about 10.33 M in cash with (30.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.81.
Kirklands has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why You Should Buy Costcos Latest Kirkland Signature Scotch Whisky Releases - Forbes
Please see Correlation Analysis. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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Is Kirklands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kirklands. If investors know Kirklands will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kirklands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.34) 
Market Capitalization
49 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.11) 
Return On Assets
(0.0162) 
Return On Equity
(0.22) 
The market value of Kirklands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kirklands that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kirklands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kirklands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kirklands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kirklands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kirklands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Kirklands value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kirklands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.