Commerce Stock Performance

CBSH
 Stock
  

USD 73.19  1.73  2.31%   

Commerce Bancshares has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.7508, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Commerce's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Commerce Bancshares returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Commerce Bancshares will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is important to respect Commerce Bancshares historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Commerce Bancshares technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.17% will be sustainable into the future. Commerce Bancshares right now shows a risk of 1.56%. Please confirm Commerce Bancshares information ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall to decide if Commerce Bancshares will be following its price patterns.
  
Commerce Performance
8 of 100
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Bancshares are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2023. ...more

Structure and Payout Changes

Forward Annual Dividend Yield
0.0145
Payout Ratio
0.25
Last Split Factor
1:1
Forward Annual Dividend Rate
1.06
Dividend Date
2022-12-16
Ex Dividend Date
2022-12-01

Commerce Price Channel

Begin Period Cash Flow2208328000.00
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2082758000.00

Commerce Bancshares Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,812  in Commerce Bancshares on September 2, 2022 and sell it today you would earn a total of  680.00  from holding Commerce Bancshares or generate 9.98% return on investment over 90 days. Commerce Bancshares is currently generating 0.1654% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.5585% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 13% of stocks are less volatile than Commerce, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Daily Expected Return (%)  
       Risk (%)  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commerce Bancshares is expected to generate 1.03 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Commerce Bancshares Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Commerce Bancshares' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Commerce Bancshares, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Commerce Bancshares' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1062

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Estimated Market Risk
 1.56
  actual daily
 
 13 %
of total potential
 
1313
Expected Return
 0.17
  actual daily
 
 3 %
of total potential
 
33
Risk-Adjusted Return
 0.11
  actual daily
 
 8 %
of total potential
 
88
Based on monthly moving average Commerce Bancshares is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Commerce Bancshares by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Commerce Bancshares Performance

To evaluate Commerce Bancshares Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Commerce Bancshares generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Commerce Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Commerce Bancshares market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Commerce's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Average Assets 1.52  1.35 
Return on Average Equity 15.53  13.43 
Return on Invested Capital 0.02  0.0207 
Return on Sales 0.46  0.47 

Things to note about Commerce Bancshares

Checking the ongoing alerts about Commerce Bancshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Commerce Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Commerce Bancshares Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Commerce Bancshares has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: LPL Financial Welcomes Commerce Financial Advisors to its Institution Services Platform - Marketscreener.com
Continue to Trending Equities. You can also try Fund Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

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Is Commerce Bancshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commerce Bancshares. If investors know Commerce will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Commerce Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.025
Market Capitalization
8.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.003
Return On Assets
0.0144
Return On Equity
0.16
The market value of Commerce Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Commerce that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Commerce Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Commerce Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Commerce Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Commerce Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Commerce Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Commerce Bancshares value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Commerce Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.