Big Lots Stock Performance

BIG -  USA Stock  

USD 27.54  1.77  6.04%

The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.9627, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Big Lots's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Big Lots will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Big Lots historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy in foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Big Lots exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Big Lots has an expected return of -0.26%. Please be advised to confirm Big Lots coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if Big Lots performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
  
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Big Lots Performance
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Over the last 90 days Big Lots has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in June 2022. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Big Lots Price Channel

Quick Ratio0.05
Fifty Two Week Low27.48
Target High Price50.00
Fifty Two Week High73.23
Payout Ratio22.51%
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.65%
Target Low Price31.00

Big Lots Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,473  in Big Lots on February 22, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (719.00)  from holding Big Lots or give up 20.7% of portfolio value over 90 days. Big Lots is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 4.6046% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 39% of stocks are less volatile than Big Lots, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
 Daily Expected Return (%) 
      Risk (%) 
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Big Lots is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.43 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly -0.08 per unit of volatility.

Big Lots Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Big Lots' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Big Lots, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Big Lots' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0561

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Negative ReturnsBIG
Estimated Market Risk
 4.6
  actual daily
 
 39 %
of total potential
 
3939
Expected Return
 -0.26
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 0 %
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 -0.06
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Based on monthly moving average Big Lots is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Big Lots by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Big Lots Performance

To evaluate Big Lots Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Big Lots generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Big Lots Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Big Lots stock market performance in a much more refined way. At Macroaxis, we take it even further. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Big Lots's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash5.9 M6.4 M
Return on Investment 24.53  29.93 
Return on Average Assets 0.045  0.06 
Return on Average Equity 0.16  0.16 
Return on Invested Capital 0.06  0.12 
Return on Sales 0.0448  0.06 
Big Lots, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a home discount retailer in the United States. Big Lots, Inc. was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. Big Lots operates under Discount Stores classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 10500 people.

Things to note about Big Lots

Checking the ongoing alerts about Big Lots for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Big Lots help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Big Lots Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Big Lots generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Big Lots has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Big Lots has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Do Insiders Own Lots Of Shares In Global Ship Lease, Inc. - Yahoo Finance
Continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Big Lots information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Big Lots' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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When running Big Lots price analysis, check to measure Big Lots' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Big Lots is operating at the current time. Most of Big Lots' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Big Lots' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Big Lots' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Big Lots to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Big Lots' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Big Lots. If investors know Big Lots will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Big Lots listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Big Lots is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Big Lots that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Big Lots' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Big Lots' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Big Lots' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Big Lots' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Big Lots' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Big Lots value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Big Lots' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.