Armour Stock Performance

ARR
 Stock
  

USD 7.55  0.05  0.66%   

Armour Residential has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.1288, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Armour's beta means in this case. Armour Residential returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Armour Residential is expected to follow. Although it is important to respect Armour Residential historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Armour Residential technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.12% will be sustainable into the future. Armour Residential right now shows a risk of 2.54%. Please confirm Armour Residential downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution to decide if Armour Residential will be following its price patterns.
  
Armour Performance
3 of 100
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Armour Residential R are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively conflicting basic indicators, Armour Residential may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in September 2022. ...more

Structure and Payout Changes

Forward Annual Dividend Yield
0.16
Payout Ratio
0.37
Last Split Factor
1:8
Forward Annual Dividend Rate
1.2
Dividend Date
2022-08-29
Ex Dividend Date
2022-08-12
Last Split Date
2015-08-03

Armour Price Channel

Quick Ratio1.06
Fifty Two Week Low5.57
Target High Price8.00
Fifty Two Week High11.18
Target Low Price6.00
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield15.79%

Armour Residential Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  715.00  in Armour Residential R on May 9, 2022 and sell it today you would earn a total of  40.00  from holding Armour Residential R or generate 5.59% return on investment over 90 days. Armour Residential R is generating 0.1176% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.5446% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Armour, and above 98% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Daily Expected Return (%)  
       Risk (%)  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Armour Residential is expected to generate 2.04 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly 0.03 per unit of risk.

Armour Residential Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Armour Residential's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Armour Residential R, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Armour Residential's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0462

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Estimated Market Risk
 2.54
  actual daily
 
 22 %
of total potential
 
2222
Expected Return
 0.12
  actual daily
 
 2 %
of total potential
 
22
Risk-Adjusted Return
 0.05
  actual daily
 
 3 %
of total potential
 
33
Based on monthly moving average Armour Residential is performing at about 3% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Armour Residential by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Armour Residential Performance

To evaluate Armour Residential Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Armour Residential generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Armour Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Armour Residential stock market performance in a much more refined way. At Macroaxis, we take it even further. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Armour's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment(9.94) (10.21) 
Return on Average Assets 0.001  0.001079 
Return on Average Equity 0.004  0.004316 
Return on Invested Capital 0.002  0.002158 
Return on Sales 0.31  0.33 
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities in the United States. The companys securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entitys and the Government National Mortgage Administrations issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans, as well as unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. It also invests in other securities backed by residential mortgages for which the payment of principal and interest is not guaranteed by a GSE or government agency. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust under the Internal Revenue Code. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.

Things to note about Armour Residential

Checking the ongoing alerts about Armour Residential for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Armour Residential help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Armour Residential Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Reported Net Loss for the year was (123.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 50.28 M.
Armour Residential R has about 7.41 B in cash with (98.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 64.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Armour Residential has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 29th of July 2022 Armour Residential paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Armour Residential information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Armour Residential's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Complementary Tools for Armour Stock analysis

When running Armour Residential price analysis, check to measure Armour Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Armour Residential is operating at the current time. Most of Armour Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Armour Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Armour Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Armour Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Armour Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Armour Residential. If investors know Armour will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Armour Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.58
Market Capitalization
865.5 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.34
Return On Assets
-0.016
Return On Equity
-0.11
The market value of Armour Residential is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Armour that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Armour Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Armour Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Armour Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Armour Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Armour Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Armour Residential value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Armour Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.