Adobe Stock Performance

ADBE
 Stock
  

USD 379.57  3.08  0.82%   

The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.4852, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Adobe's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Adobe Systems will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Adobe Systems historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Adobe Systems exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Adobe Systems has an expected return of -0.27%. Please be advised to confirm Adobe Systems maximum drawdown, semi variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and potential upside to decide if Adobe Systems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
  
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Adobe Performance
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Over the last 90 days Adobe Systems has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in August 2022. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more

Structure and Payout Changes

Last Split Factor
2:1
Ex Dividend Date
2005-03-24
Last Split Date
2005-05-24

Adobe Price Channel

Quick Ratio0.89
Fifty Two Week Low338.00
Target High Price650.00
Fifty Two Week High699.54
Target Low Price455.00

Adobe Systems Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  45,272  in Adobe Systems on April 7, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (7,659)  from holding Adobe Systems or give up 16.92% of portfolio value over 90 days. Adobe Systems is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.7246% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Adobe, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
 Daily Expected Return (%) 
      Risk (%) 
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Adobe Systems is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.87 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly -0.12 per unit of volatility.

Adobe Systems Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adobe Systems' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Adobe Systems, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Adobe Systems' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0979

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Negative ReturnsADBE
Estimated Market Risk
 2.72
  actual daily
 
 23 %
of total potential
 
2323
Expected Return
 -0.27
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
00
Risk-Adjusted Return
 -0.1
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
00
Based on monthly moving average Adobe Systems is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Adobe Systems by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Adobe Systems Performance

To evaluate Adobe Systems Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Adobe Systems generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Adobe Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Adobe Systems stock market performance in a much more refined way. At Macroaxis, we take it even further. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Adobe's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash-2 M-2.2 M
Return on Investment 23.84  19.96 
Return on Average Assets 0.16  0.15 
Return on Average Equity 0.29  0.27 
Return on Invested Capital 0.68  0.65 
Return on Sales 0.32  0.32 
Adobe Inc. operates as a diversified software company worldwide. Adobe Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, California. Adobe Systems operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 25988 people.

Things to note about Adobe Systems

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adobe Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adobe Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Adobe Systems Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Adobe Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Adobe Systems is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Adobe Systems has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: ADOBE INC. MANAGEMENTS DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS - Marketscreener.com
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the Adobe Systems information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Adobe Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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Is Adobe Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adobe Systems. If investors know Adobe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adobe Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.073
Market Capitalization
172.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.14
Return On Assets
0.15
Return On Equity
0.35
The market value of Adobe Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adobe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adobe Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adobe Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adobe Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adobe Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adobe Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Adobe Systems value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adobe Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.