AAAOX Mutual Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

AAAOX -  USA Fund  

USD 9.24  0.05  0.54%

The fund holds a Beta of -0.0282, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what AAAOX's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning One Choice are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, One Choice is likely to outperform the market. Even though it is essential to pay attention to One Choice Blend current trending patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity existing price patterns. Our philosophy towards forecasting any fund's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. One Choice Blend exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance.
  
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AAAOX Performance
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Over the last 90 days One Choice Blend has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, One Choice is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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AAAOX Price Channel

Fifty Two Week Low9.20
Fifty Two Week High10.82

One Choice Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  983.00  in One Choice Blend on February 23, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (59.00)  from holding One Choice Blend or give up 6.0% of portfolio value over 90 days. One Choice Blend is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.6694% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than AAAOX, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
 Daily Expected Return (%) 
      Risk (%) 
Assuming the 90 days horizon One Choice is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.06 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly -0.06 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

One Choice Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today 9.24
Share
Please note that One Choice's price fluctuation is very steady at this time.
One Choice Blend holds a recent Real Value of $9.33 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $9.24. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. We determine the value of One Choice Blend from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued entities and dropping overvalued entities since, at some point, stock prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Our valuation method for One Choice Blend is useful when determining the fair value of the AAAOX mutual fund, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of One Choice. Since One Choice is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AAAOX Mutual Fund. However, One Choice's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
9.33
Real Value
10.00
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of One Choice Blend helps investors to forecast how AAAOX mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of One Choice more accurately as focusing exclusively on One Choice's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.099.309.50
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.579.249.91
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowIncome Per ShareHigh
0.080.080.08
Details

One Choice Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for One Choice's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as One Choice Blend, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a One Choice's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1434

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Negative ReturnsAAAOX
Estimated Market Risk
 0.67
  actual daily
 
 5 %
of total potential
 
55
Expected Return
 -0.1
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
00
Risk-Adjusted Return
 -0.14
  actual daily
 
 0 %
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00
Based on monthly moving average One Choice is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of One Choice by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About One Choice Performance

To evaluate One Choice Blend Mutual Fund as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when One Choice generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare AAAOX Mutual Fund's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand One Choice Blend stock market performance in a much more refined way. At Macroaxis, we take it even further. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents AAAOX's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund is a fund of funds, meaning that it seeks to achieve its objective by investing in other mutual funds and exchange-traded funds advised by American Century that represent a variety of asset classes and investment styles. One Choice is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about One Choice Blend

Checking the ongoing alerts about One Choice for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for One Choice Blend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

One Choice Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

One Choice Blend generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds about 5.38% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Please continue to Trending Equities. Note that the One Choice Blend information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other One Choice's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

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When running One Choice Blend price analysis, check to measure One Choice's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy One Choice is operating at the current time. Most of One Choice's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of One Choice's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move One Choice's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of One Choice to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between One Choice's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine One Choice value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, One Choice's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.