Stellar Market Value

XLM
 Crypto
  

USD 0.12  0.01  9.09%   

Stellar's market value is the price at which a share of Stellar stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Stellar investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Stellar and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Stellar over a given investment horizon. Check out Stellar Correlation, Stellar Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Stellar.
Symbol


Please note, there is a significant difference between Stellar's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine Stellar value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, Stellar's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.

Stellar 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Stellar's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Stellar.
0.00
09/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
10/05/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Stellar on September 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Stellar or generate 0.0% return on investment in Stellar over 30 days. Stellar is related to or competes with XRP, Solana, Polkadot, Chainlink, Polygon, FTX Token, and Avalanche. Stellar is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.

Stellar Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Stellar's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Stellar upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Stellar Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Stellar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Stellar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Stellar historical prices to predict the future Stellar's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stellar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Stellar in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.010.126.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.16.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0022330.116.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.10.110.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stellar. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stellar's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stellar's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Stellar.

Stellar Backtested Returns

Stellar appears to be unusually risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Stellar owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0523, which indicates digital coin had 0.0523% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a crypto is to use all available market data together with crypto-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Stellar, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of coin. Please review Stellar's Semi Deviation of 4.56, coefficient of variation of 1940.89, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0713 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
The entity has a beta of 0.1466, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Stellar's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Stellar returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stellar will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is vital to follow Stellar current price movements, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any crypto is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Stellar technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.32% will be sustainable into the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Stellar has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Stellar time series from 5th of September 2022 to 20th of September 2022 and 20th of September 2022 to 5th of October 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Stellar price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Stellar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Stellar lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Stellar crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Stellar's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Stellar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Stellar crypto coin has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Stellar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Stellar crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Stellar crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Stellar crypto coin over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Stellar Lagged Returns

When evaluating Stellar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Stellar crypto coin have on its future price. Stellar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Stellar autocorrelation shows the relationship between Stellar crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Stellar.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Stellar without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Check out Stellar Correlation, Stellar Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on Stellar. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Other Tools for Stellar Crypto Coin

When running Stellar price analysis, check to measure Stellar's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stellar is operating at the current time. Most of Stellar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of Stellar's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stellar's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding Stellar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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