SP 500 Etf Market Value

XLK
 Etf
  

USD 150.61  2.94  1.99%   

SP 500's market value is the price at which a share of SP 500 stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SP 500 Technology investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SP 500 Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SP 500 over a given investment horizon. Check out SP 500 Hype Analysis, SP 500 Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, SP 500 Volatility, as well as analyze SP 500 Alpha and Beta and SP 500 Performance.
Symbol

The market value of SP 500 Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SP 500 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SP 500's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SP 500's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SP 500's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SP 500's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SP 500's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine SP 500 value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SP 500's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SP 500 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SP 500's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SP 500.
0.00
09/22/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
08/13/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SP 500 on September 22, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SP 500 Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in SP 500 over 690 days. SP 500 is related to or competes with ATT. In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy, which means that the fund typ...More

SP 500 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SP 500's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SP 500 Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SP 500 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SP 500's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SP 500's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SP 500 historical prices to predict the future SP 500's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of SP 500's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of SP 500 in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
148.63150.61152.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
136.58138.56165.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
149.73151.72153.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
122.51137.39152.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SP 500. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SP 500's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SP 500's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in SP 500 Technology.

SP 500 Technology Backtested Returns

SP 500 appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. SP 500 Technology retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.1, which indicates the etf had 0.1% of return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. Our approach towards measuring the volatility of an etf is to use all available market data together with etf-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for SP 500, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the etf. Please review SP 500's Downside Deviation of 2.04, mean deviation of 1.63, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1061 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.4849, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what SP 500's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, SP 500 will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect SP 500 Technology existing price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's price patterns. The approach towards measuring future performance of any etf is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing SP 500 Technology technical indicators, you can at this time evaluate if the expected return of 0.2% will be sustainable into the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.61  

Very good reverse predictability

SP 500 Technology has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SP 500 time series from 22nd of September 2020 to 2nd of September 2021 and 2nd of September 2021 to 13th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SP 500 Technology price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current SP 500 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.61
Spearman Rank Test-0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance167.12

SP 500 Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SP 500 etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SP 500's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SP 500 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SP 500 etf has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

SP 500 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SP 500 etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SP 500 etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SP 500 etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

SP 500 Lagged Returns

When evaluating SP 500's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SP 500 etf have on its future price. SP 500 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SP 500 autocorrelation shows the relationship between SP 500 etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SP 500 Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

SP 500 Investors Sentiment

The influence of SP 500's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in SP 500. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards SP 500 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, SP 500's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from SP 500 options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out SP 500 Hype Analysis, SP 500 Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, SP 500 Volatility, as well as analyze SP 500 Alpha and Beta and SP 500 Performance. Note that the SP 500 Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SP 500's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Complementary Tools for SP 500 Etf analysis

When running SP 500 Technology price analysis, check to measure SP 500's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SP 500 is operating at the current time. Most of SP 500's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SP 500's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SP 500's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SP 500 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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SP 500 technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of SP 500 technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of SP 500 trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...