VANGUARD Mutual Fund Market Value

VWIUX
 Fund
  

USD 13.46  0.02  0.15%   

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's market value is the price at which a share of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TAX-EXEMPT investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TAX-EXEMPT and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Correlation, VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Volatility and VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER.
0.00
01/18/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
12/09/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER on January 18, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TAX-EXEMPT or generate 0.0% return on investment in VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER over 690 days. VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER is related to or competes with TAX EXEMPT, VANGUARD TAX-EXEMPT, BlackRock National, and International Business. The fund has no limitations on the maturity of individual securities but is expected to maintain a dollar-weighted avera... More

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TAX-EXEMPT upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER historical prices to predict the future VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
13.2013.4613.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
13.1213.3813.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.1013.3613.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.8213.2013.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER.

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Backtested Returns

We consider VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER very steady. VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0973, which indicates the fund had 0.0973% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Our approach into measuring the volatility of a fund is to use all available market data together with fund-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TAX-EXEMPT, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the entity. Please validate VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0994, market risk adjusted performance of 0.9902, and Downside Deviation of 0.291 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0253%.
The entity has a beta of 0.0156, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what VANGUARD's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is important to respect VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical returns. The approach into measuring future performance of any fund is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER technical indicators, you can now evaluate if the expected return of 0.0253% will be sustainable into the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.48  

Modest reverse predictability

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TAX-EXEMPT has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER time series from 18th of January 2021 to 29th of December 2021 and 29th of December 2021 to 9th of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER price movement. The serial correlation of -0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.48
Spearman Rank Test-0.36
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER mutual fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Lagged Returns

When evaluating VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER mutual fund have on its future price. VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER autocorrelation shows the relationship between VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TERM TAX-EXEMPT.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Also, please take a look at VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Correlation, VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Volatility and VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER. You can also try Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER price analysis, check to measure VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER is operating at the current time. Most of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of VANGUARD INTERMEDIATE-TER trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...