VANGUARD Mutual Fund Market Value

VTWNX
 Fund
  

USD 27.33  0.16  0.58%   

VANGUARD TARGET's market value is the price at which a share of VANGUARD TARGET stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of VANGUARD TARGET RETIREMENT investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of VANGUARD TARGET RETIREMENT and determine expected loss or profit from investing in VANGUARD TARGET over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at VANGUARD TARGET Correlation, VANGUARD TARGET Volatility and VANGUARD TARGET Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VANGUARD TARGET.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between VANGUARD TARGET's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine VANGUARD TARGET value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VANGUARD TARGET's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

VANGUARD TARGET 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to VANGUARD TARGET's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of VANGUARD TARGET.
0.00
09/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/03/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in VANGUARD TARGET on September 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding VANGUARD TARGET RETIREMENT or generate 0.0% return on investment in VANGUARD TARGET over 90 days. VANGUARD TARGET is related to or competes with Pfizer, Scheid Vineyards, Bondbloxx ETF, Galxe, FT Cboe, SECOM, and VANGUARD SMALL-CAP. The investment seeks to provide capital appreciation and current income consistent with its current asset allocation More

VANGUARD TARGET Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure VANGUARD TARGET's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess VANGUARD TARGET RETIREMENT upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

VANGUARD TARGET Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for VANGUARD TARGET's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as VANGUARD TARGET's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use VANGUARD TARGET historical prices to predict the future VANGUARD TARGET's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of VANGUARD TARGET's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of VANGUARD TARGET in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
26.4827.3328.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
26.2327.0827.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VANGUARD TARGET. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VANGUARD TARGET's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VANGUARD TARGET's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in VANGUARD TARGET RETI.

VANGUARD TARGET RETI Backtested Returns

We consider VANGUARD TARGET very steady. VANGUARD TARGET RETI owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.057, which indicates the fund had 0.057% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Our approach into measuring the volatility of a fund is to use all available market data together with fund-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for VANGUARD TARGET RETIREMENT, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the entity. Please validate VANGUARD TARGET Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0428, downside deviation of 0.7556, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0414 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0487%.
The entity has a beta of 0.546, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what VANGUARD's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, VANGUARD TARGET returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VANGUARD TARGET will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is important to respect VANGUARD TARGET RETI current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical returns. The approach into measuring future performance of any fund is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining VANGUARD TARGET RETI technical indicators, you can now evaluate if the expected return of 0.0487% will be sustainable into the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.76  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

VANGUARD TARGET RETIREMENT has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between VANGUARD TARGET time series from 4th of September 2022 to 19th of October 2022 and 19th of October 2022 to 3rd of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of VANGUARD TARGET RETI price movement. The serial correlation of -0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current VANGUARD TARGET price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.76
Spearman Rank Test-0.79
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.4

VANGUARD TARGET RETI lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is VANGUARD TARGET mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting VANGUARD TARGET's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of VANGUARD TARGET returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that VANGUARD TARGET mutual fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

VANGUARD TARGET regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If VANGUARD TARGET mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if VANGUARD TARGET mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in VANGUARD TARGET mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

VANGUARD TARGET Lagged Returns

When evaluating VANGUARD TARGET's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of VANGUARD TARGET mutual fund have on its future price. VANGUARD TARGET autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, VANGUARD TARGET autocorrelation shows the relationship between VANGUARD TARGET mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in VANGUARD TARGET RETIREMENT.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in VANGUARD TARGET without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Also, please take a look at VANGUARD TARGET Correlation, VANGUARD TARGET Volatility and VANGUARD TARGET Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on VANGUARD TARGET. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running VANGUARD TARGET RETI price analysis, check to measure VANGUARD TARGET's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VANGUARD TARGET is operating at the current time. Most of VANGUARD TARGET's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VANGUARD TARGET's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VANGUARD TARGET's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VANGUARD TARGET to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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VANGUARD TARGET technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of VANGUARD TARGET technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of VANGUARD TARGET trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...