Vertex Stock Market Value

VTNR
 Stock
  

USD 7.30  0.25  3.55%   

Vertex Energy's market value is the price at which a share of Vertex Energy stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vertex Energy investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vertex Energy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vertex Energy over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at Vertex Energy Hype Analysis, Vertex Energy Correlation, Vertex Energy Valuation, Vertex Energy Volatility, as well as analyze Vertex Energy Alpha and Beta and Vertex Energy Performance.
Symbol


Is Vertex Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vertex Energy. If investors know Vertex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vertex Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
599.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
31.81
Return On Assets
-0.0769
Return On Equity
-1.2
The market value of Vertex Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vertex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vertex Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vertex Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vertex Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vertex Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vertex Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vertex Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vertex Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vertex Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vertex Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vertex Energy.
0.00
06/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
08/13/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vertex Energy on June 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vertex Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vertex Energy over 60 days. Vertex Energy is related to or competes with Marathon Petroleum, Valero Energy, and Velodyne Lidar. Vertex Energy, Inc., an environmental services company, provides a range of services designed to aggregate, process, and...More

Vertex Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vertex Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vertex Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vertex Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vertex Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vertex Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vertex Energy historical prices to predict the future Vertex Energy's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vertex Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vertex Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.367.2515.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.3110.2818.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.052.6610.62
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.0019.5025.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vertex Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vertex Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vertex Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vertex Energy.

Vertex Energy Backtested Returns

Vertex Energy owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0843, which indicates the firm had -0.0843% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards measuring the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Vertex Energy exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate Vertex Energy risk adjusted performance of 0.0048, and Coefficient Of Variation of (33,804) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
The entity has a beta of 2.1697, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Vertex's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vertex Energy will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Vertex Energy current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Our philosophy towards measuring any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Vertex Energy exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Vertex Energy has an expected return of -0.67%. Please be advised to validate Vertex Energy sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change to decide if Vertex Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

Vertex Energy has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vertex Energy time series from 14th of June 2022 to 14th of July 2022 and 14th of July 2022 to 13th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vertex Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current Vertex Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test-0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.15

Vertex Energy lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vertex Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vertex Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vertex Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vertex Energy stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Vertex Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vertex Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vertex Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vertex Energy stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Vertex Energy Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vertex Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vertex Energy stock have on its future price. Vertex Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vertex Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vertex Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vertex Energy.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Vertex Energy Investors Sentiment

The influence of Vertex Energy's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Vertex. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Vertex Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Vertex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vertex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vertex Energy. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Vertex Energy's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Vertex Energy's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Vertex Energy's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Vertex Energy.

Vertex Energy Implied Volatility

    
  133.4  
Vertex Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vertex Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vertex Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vertex Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vertex Energy's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vertex Energy in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vertex Energy's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vertex Energy options trading.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Also, please take a look at Vertex Energy Hype Analysis, Vertex Energy Correlation, Vertex Energy Valuation, Vertex Energy Volatility, as well as analyze Vertex Energy Alpha and Beta and Vertex Energy Performance. Note that the Vertex Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vertex Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running Vertex Energy price analysis, check to measure Vertex Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vertex Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vertex Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vertex Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vertex Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vertex Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Vertex Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Vertex Energy technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Vertex Energy trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...