Vistra Stock Market Value

VST
 Stock
  

USD 25.54  0.29  1.12%   

Vistra Energy's market value is the price at which a share of Vistra Energy stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vistra Energy Corp investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vistra Energy Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vistra Energy over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at Vistra Energy Hype Analysis, Vistra Energy Correlation, Vistra Energy Valuation, Vistra Energy Volatility, as well as analyze Vistra Energy Alpha and Beta and Vistra Energy Performance.
Symbol


Is Vistra Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vistra Energy. If investors know Vistra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vistra Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.99
Market Capitalization
11.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.38
Return On Assets
-0.0182
Return On Equity
-0.16
The market value of Vistra Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vistra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vistra Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vistra Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vistra Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vistra Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vistra Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vistra Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vistra Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vistra Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vistra Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vistra Energy.
0.00
08/22/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
08/17/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Vistra Energy on August 22, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vistra Energy Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vistra Energy over 360 days. Vistra Energy is related to or competes with Costco Wholesale. Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation companyMore

Vistra Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vistra Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vistra Energy Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Vistra Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vistra Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vistra Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vistra Energy historical prices to predict the future Vistra Energy's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vistra Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vistra Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.1725.5027.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
23.2525.5827.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
23.3425.6728.00
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
23.0026.2029.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vistra Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vistra Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vistra Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vistra Energy Corp.

Vistra Energy Corp Backtested Returns

We consider Vistra Energy very steady. Vistra Energy Corp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0103, which indicates the firm had 0.0103% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vistra Energy Corp, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please validate Vistra Energy Coefficient Of Variation of 1261.1, semi deviation of 2.55, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1036 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0241%.
The entity has a beta of 0.9845, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Vistra's beta means in this case. Vistra Energy returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vistra Energy is expected to follow. Although it is important to respect Vistra Energy Corp current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Vistra Energy Corp technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0241% will be sustainable into the future. Vistra Energy Corp right now has a risk of 2.33%. Please validate Vistra Energy sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change to decide if Vistra Energy will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.28  

Poor predictability

Vistra Energy Corp has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vistra Energy time series from 22nd of August 2021 to 18th of February 2022 and 18th of February 2022 to 17th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vistra Energy Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Vistra Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.28
Spearman Rank Test0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.31

Vistra Energy Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vistra Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vistra Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vistra Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vistra Energy stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Vistra Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vistra Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vistra Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vistra Energy stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Vistra Energy Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vistra Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vistra Energy stock have on its future price. Vistra Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vistra Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vistra Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vistra Energy Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Vistra Energy without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Also, please take a look at Vistra Energy Hype Analysis, Vistra Energy Correlation, Vistra Energy Valuation, Vistra Energy Volatility, as well as analyze Vistra Energy Alpha and Beta and Vistra Energy Performance. Note that the Vistra Energy Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vistra Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

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When running Vistra Energy Corp price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Vistra Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Vistra Energy technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Vistra Energy trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...