Volcon Stock Market Value

VLCN
 Stock
  

USD 1.11  0.09  7.50%   

Volcon's market value is the price at which a share of Volcon stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Volcon Inc investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Volcon Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Volcon over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at Volcon Correlation, Volcon Volatility and Volcon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Volcon.
Symbol


Is Volcon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Volcon. If investors know Volcon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Volcon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
29.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
2.23
Return On Assets
(1.23) 
Return On Equity
(6.54) 
The market value of Volcon Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Volcon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Volcon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Volcon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Volcon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Volcon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Volcon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Volcon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Volcon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Volcon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Volcon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Volcon.
0.00
11/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/05/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Volcon on November 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Volcon Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Volcon over 30 days. Volcon is related to or competes with Blue Bird, American Woodmark, Companhia Brasileira, Cannae Holdings, Commercial Vehicle, Ethan Allen, and Fuwei Films. Volcon, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells electric off road powersport vehicles in the United States and Latin Amer... More

Volcon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Volcon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Volcon Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Volcon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Volcon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Volcon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Volcon historical prices to predict the future Volcon's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Volcon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Volcon in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.061.115.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.051.105.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Volcon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Volcon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Volcon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Volcon Inc.

Volcon Inc Backtested Returns

Volcon Inc owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.26, which indicates the firm had -0.26% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards measuring the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Volcon Inc exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate Volcon coefficient of variation of (345.15), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.42) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
The entity has a beta of 0.9637, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Volcon's beta means in this case. Volcon returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Volcon is expected to follow. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Volcon Inc current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Our philosophy towards measuring any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Volcon Inc exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Volcon Inc has an expected return of -1.17%. Please be advised to validate Volcon maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change to decide if Volcon Inc performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.12  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Volcon Inc has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Volcon time series from 5th of November 2022 to 20th of November 2022 and 20th of November 2022 to 5th of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Volcon Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Volcon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.12
Spearman Rank Test-0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Volcon Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Volcon stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Volcon's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Volcon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Volcon stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Volcon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Volcon stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Volcon stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Volcon stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Volcon Lagged Returns

When evaluating Volcon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Volcon stock have on its future price. Volcon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Volcon autocorrelation shows the relationship between Volcon stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Volcon Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Volcon in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Volcon's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Volcon options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Also, please take a look at Volcon Correlation, Volcon Volatility and Volcon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Volcon. Note that the Volcon Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Volcon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for Volcon Stock analysis

When running Volcon Inc price analysis, check to measure Volcon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Volcon is operating at the current time. Most of Volcon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Volcon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Volcon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Volcon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Volcon technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Volcon technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Volcon trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...