Universal Stock Market Value

ULH
 Stock
  

USD 36.05  1.92  5.06%   

Universal Logistics' market value is the price at which a share of Universal Logistics stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Universal Logistics Holdings investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Universal Logistics Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Universal Logistics over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at Universal Logistics Correlation, Universal Logistics Volatility and Universal Logistics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Universal Logistics.
Symbol


Is Universal Logistics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Logistics. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
3.84
Market Capitalization
962 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.14
Return On Assets
0.12
Return On Equity
0.43
The market value of Universal Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Universal Logistics value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Universal Logistics 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Universal Logistics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Universal Logistics.
0.00
10/02/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
12/01/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Universal Logistics on October 2, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Universal Logistics Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Universal Logistics over 60 days. Universal Logistics is related to or competes with Disney. Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. provides transportation and logistics solutions in the United States, Mexico, Canada,... More

Universal Logistics Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Universal Logistics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Universal Logistics Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Universal Logistics Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Universal Logistics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Universal Logistics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Universal Logistics historical prices to predict the future Universal Logistics' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Universal Logistics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Universal Logistics in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
33.0635.8838.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
26.4929.3139.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
33.1936.0238.84
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
29.0029.0029.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Universal Logistics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Universal Logistics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Universal Logistics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Universal Logistics.

Universal Logistics Backtested Returns

We consider Universal Logistics very steady. Universal Logistics owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0475, which indicates the firm had 0.0475% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Universal Logistics Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please validate Universal Logistics Semi Deviation of 2.78, risk adjusted performance of 0.0319, and Coefficient Of Variation of 5444.75 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%.
Universal Logistics has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.1291, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Universal's beta means in this case. Universal Logistics returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Universal Logistics is expected to follow. Although it is important to respect Universal Logistics current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Universal Logistics technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.13% will be sustainable into the future. Universal Logistics right now has a risk of 2.82%. Please validate Universal Logistics coefficient of variation, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Universal Logistics will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

Universal Logistics Holdings has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Universal Logistics time series from 2nd of October 2022 to 1st of November 2022 and 1st of November 2022 to 1st of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Universal Logistics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Universal Logistics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.06

Universal Logistics lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Universal Logistics stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Universal Logistics' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Universal Logistics returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Universal Logistics stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Universal Logistics regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Universal Logistics stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Universal Logistics stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Universal Logistics stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Universal Logistics Lagged Returns

When evaluating Universal Logistics' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Universal Logistics stock have on its future price. Universal Logistics autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Universal Logistics autocorrelation shows the relationship between Universal Logistics stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Universal Logistics Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Universal Logistics without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Also, please take a look at Universal Logistics Correlation, Universal Logistics Volatility and Universal Logistics Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Universal Logistics. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Universal Logistics price analysis, check to measure Universal Logistics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Logistics is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Logistics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Logistics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Logistics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Logistics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Universal Logistics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Universal Logistics technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Universal Logistics trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...