Universal Stock Market Value

UHS
 Stock
  

USD 110.35  0.65  0.59%   

Universal Health's market value is the price at which a share of Universal Health stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Universal Health Services investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Universal Health Services and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Universal Health over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at Universal Health Hype Analysis, Universal Health Correlation, Universal Health Valuation, Universal Health Volatility, as well as analyze Universal Health Alpha and Beta and Universal Health Performance.
Symbol


Is Universal Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Health. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.42
Market Capitalization
8.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.039
Return On Assets
0.0539
Return On Equity
0.12
The market value of Universal Health Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Universal Health value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Universal Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Universal Health's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Universal Health.
0.00
08/18/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
08/08/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Universal Health on August 18, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Universal Health Services or generate 0.0% return on investment in Universal Health over 720 days. Universal Health is related to or competes with Unitedhealth, Agilent Technologies, Abbvie, Amerisourcebergen, Abiomed, Abbott Laboratories, and Starbucks Corp. Universal Health Services, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates acute care hospitals, and outpatient and be...More

Universal Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Universal Health's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Universal Health Services upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Universal Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Universal Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Universal Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Universal Health historical prices to predict the future Universal Health's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Universal Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Universal Health in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
108.03110.26112.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
99.32131.02133.25
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
136.00150.00165.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
11.5911.7211.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Universal Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Universal Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Universal Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Universal Health Services.

Universal Health Services Backtested Returns

Universal Health Services owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0802, which indicates the firm had -0.0802% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards measuring the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Universal Health Services exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate Universal Health coefficient of variation of (1,395), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
The entity has a beta of 1.2395, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Universal's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Universal Health will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Universal Health Services current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Our philosophy towards measuring any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Universal Health Services exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Universal Health Services has an expected return of -0.18%. Please be advised to validate Universal Health coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and skewness to decide if Universal Health Services performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.59  

Good reverse predictability

Universal Health Services has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Universal Health time series from 18th of August 2020 to 13th of August 2021 and 13th of August 2021 to 8th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Universal Health Services price movement. The serial correlation of -0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Universal Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.59
Spearman Rank Test-0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance205.86

Universal Health Services lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Universal Health stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Universal Health's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Universal Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Universal Health stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Universal Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Universal Health stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Universal Health stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Universal Health stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Universal Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating Universal Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Universal Health stock have on its future price. Universal Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Universal Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Universal Health stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Universal Health Services.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Universal Health Investors Sentiment

The influence of Universal Health's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Universal. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Universal Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Universal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Universal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Universal Health Services. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Universal Health's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Universal Health's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Universal Health's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Universal Health.

Universal Health Implied Volatility

    
  16.12  
Universal Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Universal Health Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Universal Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Universal Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Universal Health's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Universal Health in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Universal Health's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Universal Health options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Also, please take a look at Universal Health Hype Analysis, Universal Health Correlation, Universal Health Valuation, Universal Health Volatility, as well as analyze Universal Health Alpha and Beta and Universal Health Performance. Note that the Universal Health Services information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Universal Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Universal Stock analysis

When running Universal Health Services price analysis, check to measure Universal Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Health is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Universal Health technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Universal Health technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Universal Health trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...