Universal Stock Market Value

UHS
 Stock
  

USD 129.13  3.60  2.71%   

Universal Health's market value is the price at which a share of Universal Health stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Universal Health Services investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Universal Health Services and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Universal Health over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at Universal Health Correlation, Universal Health Volatility and Universal Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Universal Health.
Symbol


Is Universal Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Health. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.038) 
Market Capitalization
9.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.057
Return On Assets
0.0518
Return On Equity
0.12
The market value of Universal Health Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Universal Health value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Universal Health 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Universal Health's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Universal Health.
0.00
10/30/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/29/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Universal Health on October 30, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Universal Health Services or generate 0.0% return on investment in Universal Health over 30 days. Universal Health is related to or competes with Centene Corp, CVS Corp, Laboratory Corp, and Molina Healthcare. Universal Health Services, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates acute care hospitals, and outpatient and be... More

Universal Health Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Universal Health's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Universal Health Services upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Universal Health Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Universal Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Universal Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Universal Health historical prices to predict the future Universal Health's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Universal Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Universal Health in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
124.80127.80130.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
116.22145.43148.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
129.32132.32135.32
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
136.00150.00165.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Universal Health. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Universal Health's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Universal Health's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Universal Health Services.

Universal Health Services Backtested Returns

Universal Health appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Universal Health Services owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which indicates the firm had 0.16% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Universal Health Services, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please review Universal Health's Coefficient Of Variation of 863.92, risk adjusted performance of 0.1698, and Semi Deviation of 1.92 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Universal Health holds a performance score of 12. The entity has a beta of 1.3776, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Universal's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Universal Health will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Universal Health Services current price movements, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Universal Health Services technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.49% will be sustainable into the future. Please operates Universal Health maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price to make a quick decision on whether Universal Health Services existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Universal Health Services has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Universal Health time series from 30th of October 2022 to 14th of November 2022 and 14th of November 2022 to 29th of November 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Universal Health Services price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Universal Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.52

Universal Health Services lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Universal Health stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Universal Health's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Universal Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Universal Health stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Universal Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Universal Health stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Universal Health stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Universal Health stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Universal Health Lagged Returns

When evaluating Universal Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Universal Health stock have on its future price. Universal Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Universal Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Universal Health stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Universal Health Services.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Universal Health without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Also, please take a look at Universal Health Correlation, Universal Health Volatility and Universal Health Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Universal Health. Note that the Universal Health Services information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Universal Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Universal Health Services price analysis, check to measure Universal Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Health is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Universal Health technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Universal Health technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Universal Health trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...