Ugi Corp Stock Market Value

UGI
 Stock
  

USD 39.71  0.77  1.98%   

Ugi Corp's market value is the price at which a share of Ugi Corp stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ugi Corp investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ugi Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ugi Corp over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at Ugi Corp Correlation, Ugi Corp Volatility and Ugi Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ugi Corp.
Symbol


Is Ugi Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ugi Corp. If investors know Ugi Corp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ugi Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.54) 
Market Capitalization
8.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.35
Return On Assets
0.0866
Return On Equity
19.14
The market value of Ugi Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ugi Corp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ugi Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ugi Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ugi Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ugi Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ugi Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ugi Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ugi Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ugi Corp 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ugi Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ugi Corp.
0.00
12/07/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/27/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ugi Corp on December 7, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ugi Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ugi Corp over 720 days. Ugi Corp is related to or competes with Ameren Corp, Brookfield Infrastructure, Centerpoint Energy, Dominion Resources, Dte Energy, Mdu Res, and NRG Energy. UGI Corporation distributes, stores, transports, and markets energy products and related services in the United States a... More

Ugi Corp Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ugi Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ugi Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ugi Corp Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ugi Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ugi Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ugi Corp historical prices to predict the future Ugi Corp's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ugi Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ugi Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
36.7938.9341.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
35.0545.4847.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
39.2341.3743.51
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
46.0053.3364.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ugi Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ugi Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ugi Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ugi Corp.

Ugi Corp Backtested Returns

We consider Ugi Corp very steady. Ugi Corp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0305, which indicates the firm had 0.0305% of return per unit of risk over the last 24 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ugi Corp, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please validate Ugi Corp Semi Deviation of 1.64, coefficient of variation of 3391.86, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0347 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0495%.
Ugi Corp has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.9351, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Ugi Corp's beta means in this case. Ugi Corp returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ugi Corp is expected to follow. Although it is important to respect Ugi Corp current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Ugi Corp technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0495% will be sustainable into the future. Ugi Corp right now has a risk of 1.62%. Please validate Ugi Corp semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power to decide if Ugi Corp will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.37  

Poor reverse predictability

Ugi Corp has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ugi Corp time series from 7th of December 2020 to 2nd of December 2021 and 2nd of December 2021 to 27th of November 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ugi Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Ugi Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.37
Spearman Rank Test-0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance12.93

Ugi Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ugi Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ugi Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ugi Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ugi Corp stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Ugi Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ugi Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ugi Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ugi Corp stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Ugi Corp Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ugi Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ugi Corp stock have on its future price. Ugi Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ugi Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ugi Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ugi Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Ugi Corp Investors Sentiment

The influence of Ugi Corp's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Ugi Corp. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Ugi Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Ugi Corp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ugi Corp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ugi Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Ugi Corp's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Ugi Corp's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Ugi Corp's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Ugi Corp.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ugi Corp in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ugi Corp's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ugi Corp options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Also, please take a look at Ugi Corp Correlation, Ugi Corp Volatility and Ugi Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ugi Corp. Note that the Ugi Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ugi Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Ugi Corp Stock analysis

When running Ugi Corp price analysis, check to measure Ugi Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ugi Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Ugi Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ugi Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ugi Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ugi Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Ugi Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ugi Corp technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ugi Corp trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...