Trivago Stock Market Value

TRVG
 Stock
  

USD 1.15  0.01  0.86%   

Trivago NV's market value is the price at which a share of Trivago NV stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Trivago NV ADR investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Trivago NV ADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Trivago NV over a given investment horizon. Additionally, take a look at Trivago NV Correlation, Trivago NV Volatility and Trivago NV Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Trivago NV.
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Is Trivago NV's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trivago NV. If investors know Trivago will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trivago NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Trivago NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trivago that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trivago NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trivago NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trivago NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trivago NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trivago NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Trivago NV value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trivago NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Trivago NV 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Trivago NV's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Trivago NV.
0.00
10/08/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
10/03/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Trivago NV on October 8, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Trivago NV ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Trivago NV over 360 days. Trivago NV is related to or competes with Tencent Holdings. trivago N.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a hotel and accommodation search platform in the United States, G... More

Trivago NV Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Trivago NV's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Trivago NV ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Trivago NV Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Trivago NV's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Trivago NV's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Trivago NV historical prices to predict the future Trivago NV's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trivago NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Trivago NV in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.061.143.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.034.737.49
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
14.0015.3317.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Trivago NV. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Trivago NV's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Trivago NV's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Trivago NV ADR.

Trivago NV ADR Backtested Returns

Trivago NV ADR owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which indicates the firm had -0.14% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards measuring the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Trivago NV ADR exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate Trivago NV coefficient of variation of (742.80), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
The entity has a beta of 1.2462, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Trivago's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Trivago NV will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Trivago NV ADR current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Our philosophy towards measuring any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Trivago NV ADR exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Trivago NV ADR has an expected return of -0.39%. Please be advised to validate Trivago NV treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and daily balance of power to decide if Trivago NV ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.53  

Modest predictability

Trivago NV ADR has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Trivago NV time series from 8th of October 2021 to 6th of April 2022 and 6th of April 2022 to 3rd of October 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Trivago NV ADR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Trivago NV price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.53
Spearman Rank Test0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Trivago NV ADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Trivago NV stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Trivago NV's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Trivago NV returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Trivago NV stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Trivago NV regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Trivago NV stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Trivago NV stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Trivago NV stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Trivago NV Lagged Returns

When evaluating Trivago NV's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Trivago NV stock have on its future price. Trivago NV autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Trivago NV autocorrelation shows the relationship between Trivago NV stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Trivago NV ADR.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Trivago NV without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Additionally, take a look at Trivago NV Correlation, Trivago NV Volatility and Trivago NV Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Trivago NV. You can also try Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Trivago NV ADR price analysis, check to measure Trivago NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trivago NV is operating at the current time. Most of Trivago NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trivago NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trivago NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trivago NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Trivago NV technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Trivago NV technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Trivago NV trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...