Gusbourne OTC Stock Market Value

SLLFF
 Stock
  

USD 0.79  0.00  0.00%   

Gusbourne Plc's market value is the price at which a share of Gusbourne Plc stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gusbourne Plc investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gusbourne Plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gusbourne Plc over a given investment horizon. Additionally, take a look at Gusbourne Plc Correlation, Gusbourne Plc Volatility and Gusbourne Plc Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gusbourne Plc.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Gusbourne Plc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Gusbourne Plc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gusbourne Plc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gusbourne Plc 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gusbourne Plc's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gusbourne Plc.
0.00
10/29/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/28/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gusbourne Plc on October 29, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gusbourne Plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gusbourne Plc over 30 days. Gusbourne Plc is related to or competes with Brown Forman, Constellation Brands, and Canterbury Park. Gusbourne PLC, together with its subsidiaries, produces, distributes, and sells English sparkling wines in the United Ki... More

Gusbourne Plc Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gusbourne Plc's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gusbourne Plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gusbourne Plc Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gusbourne Plc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gusbourne Plc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gusbourne Plc historical prices to predict the future Gusbourne Plc's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gusbourne Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Gusbourne Plc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.460.781.10
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.340.660.98
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Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.470.791.11
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Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.790.790.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gusbourne Plc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gusbourne Plc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gusbourne Plc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Gusbourne Plc.

Gusbourne Plc Backtested Returns

We consider Gusbourne Plc slightly risky. Gusbourne Plc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had 0.13% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Gusbourne Plc, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please check out Gusbourne Plc market risk adjusted performance of 2.3, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1398 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0412%.
Gusbourne Plc has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0128, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Gusbourne's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Gusbourne Plc returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gusbourne Plc will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is important to respect Gusbourne Plc current price history, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current price movements. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By evaluating Gusbourne Plc technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0412% will be sustainable into the future. Gusbourne Plc right now retains a risk of 0.33%. Please check out Gusbourne Plc value at risk, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and kurtosis to decide if Gusbourne Plc will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  1.00  

Perfect predictability

Gusbourne Plc has perfect predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gusbourne Plc time series from 29th of October 2022 to 13th of November 2022 and 13th of November 2022 to 28th of November 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gusbourne Plc price movement. The serial correlation of 1.0 indicates that 100.0% of current Gusbourne Plc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient1.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Gusbourne Plc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gusbourne Plc otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gusbourne Plc's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gusbourne Plc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gusbourne Plc otc stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Gusbourne Plc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gusbourne Plc otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gusbourne Plc otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gusbourne Plc otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Gusbourne Plc Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gusbourne Plc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gusbourne Plc otc stock have on its future price. Gusbourne Plc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gusbourne Plc autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gusbourne Plc otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gusbourne Plc.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Gusbourne Plc without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Additionally, take a look at Gusbourne Plc Correlation, Gusbourne Plc Volatility and Gusbourne Plc Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gusbourne Plc. Note that the Gusbourne Plc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Gusbourne Plc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for Gusbourne OTC Stock analysis

When running Gusbourne Plc price analysis, check to measure Gusbourne Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gusbourne Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Gusbourne Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gusbourne Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gusbourne Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gusbourne Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Gusbourne Plc technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Gusbourne Plc technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Gusbourne Plc trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...