PayPal Holdings (Brazil) Market Value

PYPL34
  

BRL 19.35  0.11  0.57%   

PayPal Holdings' market value is the price at which a share of PayPal Holdings stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of PayPal Holdings investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of PayPal Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in PayPal Holdings over a given investment horizon. Please check PayPal Holdings Correlation, PayPal Holdings Volatility and PayPal Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on PayPal Holdings.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between PayPal Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine PayPal Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PayPal Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

PayPal Holdings 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PayPal Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PayPal Holdings.
0.00
12/15/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/05/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in PayPal Holdings on December 15, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PayPal Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in PayPal Holdings over 720 days. PayPal Holdings is related to or competes with Ambev SA, and Petro Rio. PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a technology platform that enables digital payments on behalf of merchants and consumers ... More

PayPal Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PayPal Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PayPal Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

PayPal Holdings Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PayPal Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PayPal Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PayPal Holdings historical prices to predict the future PayPal Holdings' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of PayPal Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of PayPal Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
15.6319.4623.29
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
13.6017.4321.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PayPal Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PayPal Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PayPal Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in PayPal Holdings.

PayPal Holdings Backtested Returns

PayPal Holdings maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0708, which implies the firm had -0.0708% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards forecasting the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. PayPal Holdings exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check PayPal Holdings risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,052) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
The company holds a Beta of 0.4279, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what PayPal's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, PayPal Holdings returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PayPal Holdings will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to PayPal Holdings current trending patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity existing price patterns. Our philosophy towards forecasting any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. PayPal Holdings exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. PayPal Holdings has an expected return of -0.27%. Please be advised to check PayPal Holdings value at risk, expected short fall, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis to decide if PayPal Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.2  

Insignificant reverse predictability

PayPal Holdings has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PayPal Holdings time series from 15th of December 2020 to 10th of December 2021 and 10th of December 2021 to 5th of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PayPal Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current PayPal Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.2
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance105.81

PayPal Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is PayPal Holdings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PayPal Holdings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PayPal Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PayPal Holdings stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

PayPal Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PayPal Holdings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PayPal Holdings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PayPal Holdings stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

PayPal Holdings Lagged Returns

When evaluating PayPal Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PayPal Holdings stock have on its future price. PayPal Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PayPal Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between PayPal Holdings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PayPal Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards PayPal Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, PayPal Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from PayPal Holdings options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Please check PayPal Holdings Correlation, PayPal Holdings Volatility and PayPal Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on PayPal Holdings. Note that the PayPal Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other PayPal Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for PayPal Stock analysis

When running PayPal Holdings price analysis, check to measure PayPal Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PayPal Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of PayPal Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PayPal Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PayPal Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PayPal Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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PayPal Holdings technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of PayPal Holdings technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of PayPal Holdings trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...