Publicis OTC Stock Market Value

PUBGY
 Stock
  

USD 16.19  0.42  2.53%   

Publicis Groupe's market value is the price at which a share of Publicis Groupe stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Publicis Groupe SA investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Publicis Groupe SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Publicis Groupe over a given investment horizon. Please check Publicis Groupe Correlation, Publicis Groupe Volatility and Publicis Groupe Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Publicis Groupe.
Symbol


Please note, there is a significant difference between Publicis Groupe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Publicis Groupe value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Publicis Groupe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Publicis Groupe 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Publicis Groupe's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Publicis Groupe.
0.00
12/17/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/07/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Publicis Groupe on December 17, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Publicis Groupe SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Publicis Groupe over 720 days. Publicis Groupe is related to or competes with Pernod Ricard, Heineken Holding, Davide Campari-Milano, Diageo Plc, and Anheuser Busch. Publicis Groupe S.A. provides marketing, communications, and digital business transformation services in North America, ... More

Publicis Groupe Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Publicis Groupe's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Publicis Groupe SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Publicis Groupe Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Publicis Groupe's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Publicis Groupe's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Publicis Groupe historical prices to predict the future Publicis Groupe's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Publicis Groupe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Publicis Groupe in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
14.0316.1818.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.5719.0621.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.7815.9318.08
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
21.3021.3021.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Publicis Groupe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Publicis Groupe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Publicis Groupe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Publicis Groupe SA.

Publicis Groupe SA Backtested Returns

Publicis Groupe appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Publicis Groupe SA maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.19, which implies the firm had 0.19% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards forecasting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Publicis Groupe SA, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please evaluate Publicis Groupe's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3301, semi deviation of 1.25, and Coefficient Of Variation of 457.79 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Publicis Groupe holds a performance score of 14. The company holds a Beta of 0.0266, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Publicis's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Publicis Groupe returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Publicis Groupe will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is vital to follow Publicis Groupe SA current trending patterns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity existing price patterns. The philosophy towards forecasting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Publicis Groupe SA technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.41% will be sustainable into the future. Please employ Publicis Groupe SA mean deviation, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and downside variance to make a quick decision on whether Publicis Groupe historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.59  

Good reverse predictability

Publicis Groupe SA has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Publicis Groupe time series from 17th of December 2020 to 12th of December 2021 and 12th of December 2021 to 7th of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Publicis Groupe SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Publicis Groupe price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.59
Spearman Rank Test-0.39
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.92

Publicis Groupe SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Publicis Groupe otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Publicis Groupe's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Publicis Groupe returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Publicis Groupe otc stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Publicis Groupe regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Publicis Groupe otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Publicis Groupe otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Publicis Groupe otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Publicis Groupe Lagged Returns

When evaluating Publicis Groupe's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Publicis Groupe otc stock have on its future price. Publicis Groupe autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Publicis Groupe autocorrelation shows the relationship between Publicis Groupe otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Publicis Groupe SA.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Publicis Groupe Investors Sentiment

The influence of Publicis Groupe's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Publicis. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a otc movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire otc markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Publicis Groupe's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Publicis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Publicis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Publicis Groupe SA. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Publicis Groupe's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Publicis Groupe's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Publicis Groupe's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Publicis Groupe.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Publicis Groupe in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Publicis Groupe's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Publicis Groupe options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Please check Publicis Groupe Correlation, Publicis Groupe Volatility and Publicis Groupe Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Publicis Groupe. Note that the Publicis Groupe SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Publicis Groupe's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Publicis OTC Stock analysis

When running Publicis Groupe SA price analysis, check to measure Publicis Groupe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Publicis Groupe is operating at the current time. Most of Publicis Groupe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Publicis Groupe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Publicis Groupe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Publicis Groupe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Publicis Groupe technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Publicis Groupe technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Publicis Groupe trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...