Publicis OTC Stock Market Value

PGPEF
 Stock
  

USD 64.55  0.65  1.00%   

Publicis Groupe's market value is the price at which a share of Publicis Groupe stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Publicis Groupe investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Publicis Groupe and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Publicis Groupe over a given investment horizon. Please check Publicis Groupe Correlation, Publicis Groupe Volatility and Publicis Groupe Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Publicis Groupe.
Symbol


Please note, there is a significant difference between Publicis Groupe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Publicis Groupe value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Publicis Groupe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Publicis Groupe 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Publicis Groupe's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Publicis Groupe.
0.00
01/09/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 10 months and 22 days
11/30/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Publicis Groupe on January 9, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Publicis Groupe or generate 0.0% return on investment in Publicis Groupe over 690 days. Publicis Groupe is related to or competes with Omnicom, Interpublic, and World Wrestling. Publicis Groupe S.A. provides marketing, communications, and digital business transformation services in North America, ... More

Publicis Groupe Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Publicis Groupe's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Publicis Groupe upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Publicis Groupe Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Publicis Groupe's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Publicis Groupe's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Publicis Groupe historical prices to predict the future Publicis Groupe's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Publicis Groupe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Publicis Groupe in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
62.4264.5566.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
58.1071.2373.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
64.0266.1568.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
47.1355.4463.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Publicis Groupe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Publicis Groupe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Publicis Groupe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Publicis Groupe.

Publicis Groupe Backtested Returns

Publicis Groupe appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Publicis Groupe maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.22, which implies the firm had 0.22% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards forecasting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Publicis Groupe, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please evaluate Publicis Groupe's Semi Deviation of 0.6754, risk adjusted performance of 0.3145, and Coefficient Of Variation of 439.98 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Publicis Groupe holds a performance score of 17. The company holds a Beta of 0.111, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Publicis's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Publicis Groupe returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Publicis Groupe will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is vital to follow Publicis Groupe current trending patterns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity existing price patterns. The philosophy towards forecasting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Publicis Groupe technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.48% will be sustainable into the future. Please employ Publicis Groupe coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance to make a quick decision on whether Publicis Groupe historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.61  

Very good reverse predictability

Publicis Groupe has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Publicis Groupe time series from 9th of January 2021 to 20th of December 2021 and 20th of December 2021 to 30th of November 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Publicis Groupe price movement. The serial correlation of -0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Publicis Groupe price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.61
Spearman Rank Test-0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance51.04

Publicis Groupe lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Publicis Groupe otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Publicis Groupe's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Publicis Groupe returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Publicis Groupe otc stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Publicis Groupe regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Publicis Groupe otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Publicis Groupe otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Publicis Groupe otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Publicis Groupe Lagged Returns

When evaluating Publicis Groupe's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Publicis Groupe otc stock have on its future price. Publicis Groupe autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Publicis Groupe autocorrelation shows the relationship between Publicis Groupe otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Publicis Groupe.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Publicis Groupe without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please check Publicis Groupe Correlation, Publicis Groupe Volatility and Publicis Groupe Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Publicis Groupe. Note that the Publicis Groupe information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Publicis Groupe's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for Publicis OTC Stock analysis

When running Publicis Groupe price analysis, check to measure Publicis Groupe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Publicis Groupe is operating at the current time. Most of Publicis Groupe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Publicis Groupe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Publicis Groupe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Publicis Groupe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Publicis Groupe technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Publicis Groupe technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Publicis Groupe trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...