OAT Pink Sheet Market Value

OATN
 Stock
  

USD 0.0225  0.00  0.00%   

OAT's market value is the price at which a share of OAT stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of OAT Inc investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of OAT Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in OAT over a given investment horizon. Please check OAT Correlation, OAT Volatility and OAT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on OAT.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between OAT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine OAT value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OAT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

OAT 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to OAT's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of OAT.
0.00
12/18/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/08/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in OAT on December 18, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding OAT Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in OAT over 720 days. OAT is related to or competes with Johnson Controls, Summit Therapeutics, SCOR PK, Barloworld, and THE HARTFORD. O.A.T., Inc. operates as a natural resource development company More

OAT Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure OAT's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess OAT Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

OAT Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for OAT's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as OAT's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use OAT historical prices to predict the future OAT's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of OAT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of OAT in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.025.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.017015.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0004530.0226435.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.0147260.0199120.025099
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OAT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OAT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OAT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in OAT Inc.

OAT Inc Backtested Returns

OAT appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. OAT Inc maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0605, which implies the company had 0.0605% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Our approach into forecasting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for OAT Inc, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the entity. Please evaluate OAT's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3184, mean deviation of 1.8, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1691.64 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, OAT holds a performance score of 4. The firm holds a Beta of 0.9642, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what OAT's beta means in this case. OAT returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, OAT is expected to follow. Although it is vital to follow OAT Inc current trending patterns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity existing price patterns. The approach into forecasting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting OAT Inc technical indicators, you can now evaluate if the expected return of 0.32% will be sustainable into the future. Please employ OAT Inc information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and kurtosis to make a quick decision on whether OAT historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.37  

Below average predictability

OAT Inc has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between OAT time series from 18th of December 2020 to 13th of December 2021 and 13th of December 2021 to 8th of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of OAT Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current OAT price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.37
Spearman Rank Test0.51
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

OAT Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is OAT pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting OAT's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of OAT returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that OAT pink sheet has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

OAT regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If OAT pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if OAT pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in OAT pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

OAT Lagged Returns

When evaluating OAT's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of OAT pink sheet have on its future price. OAT autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, OAT autocorrelation shows the relationship between OAT pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in OAT Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards OAT in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, OAT's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from OAT options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as OAT Inc using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

Build Optimal Portfolios

Align your risk with return expectations

Fix your portfolio
By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Please check OAT Correlation, OAT Volatility and OAT Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on OAT. You can also try Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running OAT Inc price analysis, check to measure OAT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OAT is operating at the current time. Most of OAT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OAT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OAT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OAT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Go
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Go
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Go
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Go
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Go
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Go
OAT technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of OAT technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of OAT trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...