Newell Stock Market Value

NWL
 Stock
  

USD 20.51  0.62  3.12%   

Newell Brands' market value is the price at which a share of Newell Brands stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Newell Brands investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Newell Brands and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Newell Brands over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Newell Brands Hype Analysis, Newell Brands Correlation, Newell Brands Valuation, Newell Brands Volatility, as well as analyze Newell Brands Alpha and Beta and Newell Brands Performance.
Symbol


Is Newell Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newell Brands. If investors know Newell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Newell Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Newell Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Newell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Newell Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Newell Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Newell Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Newell Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Newell Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Newell Brands value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Newell Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Newell Brands 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Newell Brands' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Newell Brands.
0.00
08/20/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
08/10/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Newell Brands on August 20, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Newell Brands or generate 0.0% return on investment in Newell Brands over 720 days. Newell Brands is related to or competes with Tupperware Corp, Whirlpool Corp, Procter Gamble, JM Smucker, Spectrum Brands, T.J. Maxx, and Walgreens Boots. Newell Brands Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, and distributes consumer and commercial products worldwideMore

Newell Brands Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Newell Brands' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Newell Brands upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Newell Brands Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Newell Brands' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Newell Brands' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Newell Brands historical prices to predict the future Newell Brands' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newell Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Newell Brands in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
17.7320.5223.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
18.5025.2228.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.8219.6122.41
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
25.0030.0035.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Newell Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Newell Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Newell Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Newell Brands.

Newell Brands Backtested Returns

Newell Brands has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0298, which conveys that the firm had -0.0298% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Newell Brands exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Newell Brands mean deviation of 2.2, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.048408) to check out the risk estimate we provide.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.2659, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Newell's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Newell Brands will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Newell Brands price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Newell Brands exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Newell Brands has an expected return of -0.0834%. Please be advised to verify Newell Brands downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator to decide if Newell Brands performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.5  

Modest reverse predictability

Newell Brands has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Newell Brands time series from 20th of August 2020 to 15th of August 2021 and 15th of August 2021 to 10th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Newell Brands price movement. The serial correlation of -0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Newell Brands price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.5
Spearman Rank Test-0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.55

Newell Brands lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Newell Brands stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Newell Brands' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Newell Brands returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Newell Brands stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Newell Brands regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Newell Brands stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Newell Brands stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Newell Brands stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Newell Brands Lagged Returns

When evaluating Newell Brands' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Newell Brands stock have on its future price. Newell Brands autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Newell Brands autocorrelation shows the relationship between Newell Brands stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Newell Brands.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Newell Brands Investors Sentiment

The influence of Newell Brands' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Newell. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Newell Brands Implied Volatility

    
  44.2  
Newell Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Newell Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Newell Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Newell Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Newell Brands' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Newell Brands in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Newell Brands' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Newell Brands options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

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Additionally, see Newell Brands Hype Analysis, Newell Brands Correlation, Newell Brands Valuation, Newell Brands Volatility, as well as analyze Newell Brands Alpha and Beta and Newell Brands Performance. Note that the Newell Brands information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Newell Brands' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for Newell Stock analysis

When running Newell Brands price analysis, check to measure Newell Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Newell Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Newell Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Newell Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Newell Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Newell Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Newell Brands technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Newell Brands technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Newell Brands trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...