Northwest Stock Market Value

NWBI -  USA Stock  

USD 12.24  0.01  0.08%

Northwest Bancshares' market value is the price at which a share of Northwest Bancshares stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Northwest Bancshares investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Northwest Bancshares and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Northwest Bancshares over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Northwest Bancshares Hype Analysis, Northwest Bancshares Correlation, Northwest Bancshares Valuation, Northwest Bancshares Volatility, as well as analyze Northwest Bancshares Alpha and Beta and Northwest Bancshares Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Is Northwest Bancshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northwest Bancshares. If investors know Northwest will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northwest Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Northwest Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northwest that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northwest Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northwest Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northwest Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northwest Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northwest Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Northwest Bancshares value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northwest Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Northwest Bancshares 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Northwest Bancshares' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Northwest Bancshares.
0.00
04/16/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
05/16/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Northwest Bancshares on April 16, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Northwest Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in Northwest Bancshares over 30 days. Northwest Bancshares is related to or competes with BRADESCO, Fifth Third, Hdfc Bank, BRASIL ON, and US Bancorp. Northwest Bancshares, Inc. operates as the holding company for Northwest Bank, a state-chartered savings bank that provi...

Northwest Bancshares Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Northwest Bancshares' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Northwest Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Northwest Bancshares Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Northwest Bancshares' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Northwest Bancshares' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Northwest Bancshares historical prices to predict the future Northwest Bancshares' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northwest Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Northwest Bancshares in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.7912.2013.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.7313.1414.55
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0013.6014.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.971.081.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Northwest Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Northwest Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Northwest Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Northwest Bancshares.

Northwest Bancshares Backtested Returns

Northwest Bancshares has Sharpe Ratio of -0.14, which conveys that the firm had -0.14% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Northwest Bancshares exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Northwest Bancshares mean deviation of 1.13, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.15) to check out the risk estimate we provide.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.5059, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Northwest's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Northwest Bancshares returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Northwest Bancshares will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Northwest Bancshares price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Northwest Bancshares exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Northwest Bancshares has an expected return of -0.2%. Please be advised to verify Northwest Bancshares expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power to decide if Northwest Bancshares performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.85  

Very good predictability

Northwest Bancshares has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Northwest Bancshares time series from 16th of April 2022 to 1st of May 2022 and 1st of May 2022 to 16th of May 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Northwest Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of 0.85 indicates that around 85.0% of current Northwest Bancshares price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.85
Spearman Rank Test0.86
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Northwest Bancshares lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Northwest Bancshares stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Northwest Bancshares' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Northwest Bancshares returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Northwest Bancshares stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Northwest Bancshares regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Northwest Bancshares stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Northwest Bancshares stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Northwest Bancshares stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Northwest Bancshares Lagged Returns

When evaluating Northwest Bancshares' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Northwest Bancshares stock have on its future price. Northwest Bancshares autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Northwest Bancshares autocorrelation shows the relationship between Northwest Bancshares stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Northwest Bancshares.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Northwest Bancshares Investors Sentiment

The influence of Northwest Bancshares' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Northwest. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Northwest Bancshares Implied Volatility

    
  141.08  
Northwest Bancshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Northwest Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Northwest Bancshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Northwest Bancshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Northwest Bancshares' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Northwest Bancshares in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Northwest Bancshares' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Northwest Bancshares options trading.

Current Sentiment - NWBI

Northwest Bancshares Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are now bullish on Northwest Bancshares. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Northwest Bancshares? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Northwest Bancshares using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see Northwest Bancshares Hype Analysis, Northwest Bancshares Correlation, Northwest Bancshares Valuation, Northwest Bancshares Volatility, as well as analyze Northwest Bancshares Alpha and Beta and Northwest Bancshares Performance. Note that the Northwest Bancshares information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Northwest Bancshares' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Complementary Tools for Northwest Stock analysis

When running Northwest Bancshares price analysis, check to measure Northwest Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northwest Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Northwest Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northwest Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northwest Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northwest Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Northwest Bancshares technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Northwest Bancshares technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Northwest Bancshares trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...