NVIDIA Stock Market Value

NVDA
 Stock
  

USD 159.87  6.23  3.75%   

NVIDIA's market value is the price at which a share of NVIDIA stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NVIDIA investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NVIDIA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in NVIDIA over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see NVIDIA Correlation, NVIDIA Volatility and NVIDIA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NVIDIA.
Symbol


Is NVIDIA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NVIDIA. If investors know NVIDIA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NVIDIA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.72) 
Market Capitalization
413.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.17) 
Return On Assets
0.1123
Return On Equity
0.2639
The market value of NVIDIA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NVIDIA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NVIDIA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NVIDIA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NVIDIA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NVIDIA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NVIDIA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine NVIDIA value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NVIDIA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

NVIDIA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NVIDIA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NVIDIA.
0.00
11/07/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/07/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in NVIDIA on November 7, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NVIDIA or generate 0.0% return on investment in NVIDIA over 30 days. NVIDIA is related to or competes with Dupont De, Merck, 3M, Procter Gamble, Cisco Systems, McDonalds, and Coca Cola. NVIDIA Corporation provides graphics, and compute and networking solutions in the United States, Taiwan, China, and inte... More

NVIDIA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NVIDIA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NVIDIA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

NVIDIA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NVIDIA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NVIDIA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NVIDIA historical prices to predict the future NVIDIA's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of NVIDIA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of NVIDIA in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
157.83161.62165.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
143.88194.01197.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
157.55161.34165.13
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
187.50305.02400.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NVIDIA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NVIDIA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NVIDIA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in NVIDIA.

NVIDIA Backtested Returns

NVIDIA appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. NVIDIA has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0743, which conveys that the firm had 0.0743% of return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. Our approach towards estimating the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for NVIDIA, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please exercise NVIDIA's mean deviation of 2.73, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1297 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, NVIDIA holds a performance score of 5. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.0633, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what NVIDIA's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, NVIDIA will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow NVIDIA price patterns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity historical price patterns. The approach towards estimating future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting NVIDIA technical indicators, you can now evaluate if the expected return of 0.28% will be sustainable into the future. Please exercises NVIDIA treynor ratio, and the relationship between the variance and potential upside to make a quick decision on whether NVIDIA current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.30  

Below average predictability

NVIDIA has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NVIDIA time series from 7th of November 2022 to 22nd of November 2022 and 22nd of November 2022 to 7th of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NVIDIA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.3 indicates that nearly 30.0% of current NVIDIA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.3
Spearman Rank Test-0.24
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance23.34

NVIDIA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is NVIDIA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting NVIDIA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of NVIDIA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that NVIDIA stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

NVIDIA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If NVIDIA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if NVIDIA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in NVIDIA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

NVIDIA Lagged Returns

When evaluating NVIDIA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of NVIDIA stock have on its future price. NVIDIA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, NVIDIA autocorrelation shows the relationship between NVIDIA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NVIDIA.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

NVIDIA Investors Sentiment

The influence of NVIDIA's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in NVIDIA. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to NVIDIA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in NVIDIA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NVIDIA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NVIDIA. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
NVIDIA's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for NVIDIA's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average NVIDIA's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on NVIDIA.

NVIDIA Implied Volatility

    
  68.05  
NVIDIA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NVIDIA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NVIDIA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NVIDIA stock will not fluctuate a lot when NVIDIA's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards NVIDIA in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, NVIDIA's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from NVIDIA options trading.

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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as NVIDIA using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see NVIDIA Correlation, NVIDIA Volatility and NVIDIA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on NVIDIA. Note that the NVIDIA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other NVIDIA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for NVIDIA Stock analysis

When running NVIDIA price analysis, check to measure NVIDIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NVIDIA is operating at the current time. Most of NVIDIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NVIDIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NVIDIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NVIDIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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NVIDIA technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of NVIDIA technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of NVIDIA trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...