Nio Inc Stock Market Value

NIO
 Stock
  

USD 21.36  0.36  1.66%   

Nio Inc's market value is the price at which a share of Nio Inc stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nio Inc ADR investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nio Inc ADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nio Inc over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Nio Inc Hype Analysis, Nio Inc Correlation, Nio Inc Valuation, Nio Inc Volatility, as well as analyze Nio Inc Alpha and Beta and Nio Inc Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Is Nio Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nio Inc. If investors know Nio Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nio Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
35.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.24
Return On Assets
-0.0539
Return On Equity
-0.22
The market value of Nio Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nio Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nio Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nio Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nio Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nio Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nio Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nio Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nio Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nio Inc 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nio Inc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nio Inc.
0.00
07/13/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
07/03/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nio Inc on July 13, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nio Inc ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nio Inc over 720 days. NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in ChinaMore

Nio Inc Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nio Inc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nio Inc ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nio Inc Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nio Inc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nio Inc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nio Inc historical prices to predict the future Nio Inc's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nio Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nio Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
15.4621.3627.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
19.2231.3237.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
15.3321.2227.12
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0062.7080.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nio Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nio Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nio Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nio Inc ADR.

Nio Inc ADR Backtested Returns

Nio Inc ADR has Sharpe Ratio of -8.0E-4, which conveys that the firm had -8.0E-4% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Nio Inc exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Nio Inc ADR Mean Deviation of 4.6, risk adjusted performance of 0.04, and Downside Deviation of 5.64 to check out the risk estimate we provide.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.3347, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Nio Inc's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Nio Inc will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Nio Inc ADR price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Nio Inc exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Nio Inc ADR has an expected return of -0.0047%. Please be advised to verify Nio Inc ADR maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change to decide if Nio Inc ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.52  

Good reverse predictability

Nio Inc ADR has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nio Inc time series from 13th of July 2020 to 8th of July 2021 and 8th of July 2021 to 3rd of July 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nio Inc ADR price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Nio Inc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test-0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance97.22

Nio Inc ADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nio Inc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nio Inc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nio Inc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nio Inc stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Nio Inc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nio Inc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nio Inc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nio Inc stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Nio Inc Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nio Inc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nio Inc stock have on its future price. Nio Inc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nio Inc autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nio Inc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nio Inc ADR.
 Regressed Prices 
Share
      Timeline 

Nio Inc Investors Sentiment

The influence of Nio Inc's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Nio Inc. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Nio Inc Implied Volatility

    
  75.05  
Nio Inc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nio Inc ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nio Inc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nio Inc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nio Inc's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nio Inc in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nio Inc's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nio Inc options trading.

Current Sentiment - NIO

Nio Inc ADR Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are now bullish on Nio Inc ADR. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Nio Inc ADR? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Nio Inc ADR using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see Nio Inc Hype Analysis, Nio Inc Correlation, Nio Inc Valuation, Nio Inc Volatility, as well as analyze Nio Inc Alpha and Beta and Nio Inc Performance. Note that the Nio Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nio Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Complementary Tools for Nio Inc Stock analysis

When running Nio Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Nio Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nio Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Nio Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nio Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nio Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nio Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Nio Inc technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Nio Inc technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Nio Inc trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...