Natural Stock Market Value

NHTC -  USA Stock  

USD 6.70  0.02  0.30%

Natural Hlth's market value is the price at which a share of Natural Hlth stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Natural Hlth Trd investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Natural Hlth Trd and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Natural Hlth over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Natural Hlth Hype Analysis, Natural Hlth Correlation, Natural Hlth Valuation, Natural Hlth Volatility, as well as analyze Natural Hlth Alpha and Beta and Natural Hlth Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Is Natural Hlth's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Hlth. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Hlth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Natural Hlth Trd is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Hlth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Hlth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Hlth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Hlth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Hlth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natural Hlth value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Hlth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Natural Hlth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Natural Hlth's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Natural Hlth.
0.00
04/26/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
05/26/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Natural Hlth on April 26, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Natural Hlth Trd or generate 0.0% return on investment in Natural Hlth over 30 days. Natural Hlth is related to or competes with EBay, Mercadolibre, Alibaba Group, Jd Inc, and Amazon. Natural Health Trends Corp., a direct-selling and e-commerce company, provides personal care, wellness, and lifestyle pr...

Natural Hlth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Natural Hlth's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Natural Hlth Trd upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Natural Hlth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Hlth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Natural Hlth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Natural Hlth historical prices to predict the future Natural Hlth's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Hlth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Natural Hlth in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
5.386.698.00
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.496.798.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.196.507.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.636.857.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natural Hlth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natural Hlth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natural Hlth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Natural Hlth Trd.

Natural Hlth Trd Backtested Returns

Natural Hlth Trd has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0165, which conveys that the firm had -0.0165% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Natural Hlth exposes twenty-six different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Natural Hlth Trd mean deviation of 0.9952, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.041405) to check out the risk estimate we provide.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.3857, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Natural's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Natural Hlth returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Natural Hlth will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Natural Hlth Trd price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Natural Hlth exposes twenty-six different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Natural Hlth Trd has an expected return of -0.0216%. Please be advised to verify Natural Hlth Trd value at risk, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change to decide if Natural Hlth Trd performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.7  

Very good reverse predictability

Natural Hlth Trd has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Natural Hlth time series from 26th of April 2022 to 11th of May 2022 and 11th of May 2022 to 26th of May 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Natural Hlth Trd price movement. The serial correlation of -0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Natural Hlth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.7
Spearman Rank Test-0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Natural Hlth Trd lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Natural Hlth stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Natural Hlth's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Natural Hlth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Natural Hlth stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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Natural Hlth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Natural Hlth stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Natural Hlth stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Natural Hlth stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Natural Hlth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Natural Hlth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Natural Hlth stock have on its future price. Natural Hlth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Natural Hlth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Natural Hlth stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Natural Hlth Trd.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Natural Hlth Investors Sentiment

The influence of Natural Hlth's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Natural. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Natural Hlth Implied Volatility

    
  5.27  
Natural Hlth's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Natural Hlth Trd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Natural Hlth's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Natural Hlth stock will not fluctuate a lot when Natural Hlth's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Natural Hlth in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Natural Hlth's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Natural Hlth options trading.

Current Sentiment - NHTC

Natural Hlth Trd Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis users are now bullish on Natural Hlth Trd. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Natural Hlth Trd? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Natural Hlth Trd using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see Natural Hlth Hype Analysis, Natural Hlth Correlation, Natural Hlth Valuation, Natural Hlth Volatility, as well as analyze Natural Hlth Alpha and Beta and Natural Hlth Performance. Note that the Natural Hlth Trd information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natural Hlth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis

When running Natural Hlth Trd price analysis, check to measure Natural Hlth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Hlth is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Hlth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Hlth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Hlth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Hlth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Natural Hlth technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Natural Hlth technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Natural Hlth trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...