Norwegian Stock Market Value

NCLH
 Stock
  

USD 14.16  0.36  2.61%   

Norwegian Cruise's market value is the price at which a share of Norwegian Cruise stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Norwegian Cruise Ord investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Norwegian Cruise Ord and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Norwegian Cruise over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Norwegian Cruise Correlation, Norwegian Cruise Volatility and Norwegian Cruise Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Norwegian Cruise.
Symbol


Is Norwegian Cruise's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norwegian Cruise. If investors know Norwegian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norwegian Cruise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.009
Market Capitalization
5.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
270.79
Return On Assets
-0.0818
Return On Equity
-1.69
The market value of Norwegian Cruise Ord is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norwegian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norwegian Cruise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norwegian Cruise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norwegian Cruise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norwegian Cruise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Norwegian Cruise's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Norwegian Cruise value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norwegian Cruise's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Norwegian Cruise 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Norwegian Cruise's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Norwegian Cruise.
0.00
07/19/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
08/18/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Norwegian Cruise on July 19, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Norwegian Cruise Ord or generate 0.0% return on investment in Norwegian Cruise over 30 days. Norwegian Cruise is related to or competes with The9, Charles Schwab, Johnson Johnson, Cisco Systems, Microsoft Corp, Alcoa Corp, and Intel Corp. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a cruise company in North America, Euro... More

Norwegian Cruise Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Norwegian Cruise's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Norwegian Cruise Ord upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Norwegian Cruise Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Norwegian Cruise's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Norwegian Cruise's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Norwegian Cruise historical prices to predict the future Norwegian Cruise's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Norwegian Cruise's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Norwegian Cruise in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7.7913.7619.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.2717.2423.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.5915.5521.52
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
22.0030.0039.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Norwegian Cruise. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Norwegian Cruise's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Norwegian Cruise's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Norwegian Cruise Ord.

Norwegian Cruise Ord Backtested Returns

We consider Norwegian Cruise somewhat reliable. Norwegian Cruise Ord has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0013, which conveys that the firm had 0.0013% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards estimating the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Norwegian Cruise, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please verify Norwegian Cruise Ord risk adjusted performance of (0.007778), and Mean Deviation of 4.51 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.008%.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.8029, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Norwegian's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Norwegian Cruise will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Norwegian Cruise Ord price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical price patterns. The philosophy towards estimating future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Norwegian Cruise Ord technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.008% will be sustainable into the future. Norwegian Cruise Ord right now secures a risk of 5.99%. Please verify Norwegian Cruise Ord information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if Norwegian Cruise Ord will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

Norwegian Cruise Ord has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Norwegian Cruise time series from 19th of July 2022 to 3rd of August 2022 and 3rd of August 2022 to 18th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Norwegian Cruise Ord price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Norwegian Cruise price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test-0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.43

Norwegian Cruise Ord lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Norwegian Cruise stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Norwegian Cruise's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Norwegian Cruise returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Norwegian Cruise stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Norwegian Cruise regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Norwegian Cruise stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Norwegian Cruise stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Norwegian Cruise stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Norwegian Cruise Lagged Returns

When evaluating Norwegian Cruise's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Norwegian Cruise stock have on its future price. Norwegian Cruise autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Norwegian Cruise autocorrelation shows the relationship between Norwegian Cruise stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Norwegian Cruise Ord.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Norwegian Cruise Investors Sentiment

The influence of Norwegian Cruise's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Norwegian. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Norwegian Cruise's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Norwegian. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Norwegian can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Norwegian Cruise Ord. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Norwegian Cruise's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Norwegian Cruise's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Norwegian Cruise's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Norwegian Cruise.

Norwegian Cruise Implied Volatility

    
  78.72  
Norwegian Cruise's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Norwegian Cruise Ord stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Norwegian Cruise's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Norwegian Cruise stock will not fluctuate a lot when Norwegian Cruise's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Norwegian Cruise in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Norwegian Cruise's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Norwegian Cruise options trading.

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Additionally, see Norwegian Cruise Correlation, Norwegian Cruise Volatility and Norwegian Cruise Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Norwegian Cruise. Note that the Norwegian Cruise Ord information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Norwegian Cruise's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

Complementary Tools for Norwegian Stock analysis

When running Norwegian Cruise Ord price analysis, check to measure Norwegian Cruise's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Norwegian Cruise is operating at the current time. Most of Norwegian Cruise's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Norwegian Cruise's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Norwegian Cruise's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Norwegian Cruise to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Norwegian Cruise technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Norwegian Cruise technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Norwegian Cruise trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...