Mogu Inc Stock Market Value

MOGU
 Stock
  

USD 2.25  0.09  3.85%   

Mogu Inc's market value is the price at which a share of Mogu Inc stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mogu Inc ADR investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mogu Inc ADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mogu Inc over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Mogu Inc Hype Analysis, Mogu Inc Correlation, Mogu Inc Valuation, Mogu Inc Volatility, as well as analyze Mogu Inc Alpha and Beta and Mogu Inc Performance.
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Is Mogu Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mogu Inc. If investors know Mogu Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mogu Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mogu Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mogu Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mogu Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mogu Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mogu Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mogu Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mogu Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mogu Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mogu Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mogu Inc 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mogu Inc's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mogu Inc.
0.00
05/02/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
07/01/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mogu Inc on May 2, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mogu Inc ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mogu Inc over 60 days. Mogu Inc is related to or competes with Amazon, 3M, Travelers Companies, Home Depot, McDonalds Corp, Pfizer, and American Express. MOGU Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the online fashion and lifestyle business in the Peoples Republic of Chi...More

Mogu Inc Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mogu Inc's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mogu Inc ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mogu Inc Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mogu Inc's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mogu Inc's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mogu Inc historical prices to predict the future Mogu Inc's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mogu Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mogu Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.112.239.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.112.189.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.046522.339.77
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
2.402.402.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mogu Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mogu Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mogu Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mogu Inc ADR.

Mogu Inc ADR Backtested Returns

Mogu Inc ADR has Sharpe Ratio of -0.065, which conveys that the firm had -0.065% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Mogu Inc exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Mogu Inc ADR risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Mean Deviation of 4.93 to check out the risk estimate we provide.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.8296, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Mogu Inc's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Mogu Inc returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mogu Inc will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Mogu Inc ADR price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Mogu Inc exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Mogu Inc ADR has an expected return of -0.48%. Please be advised to verify Mogu Inc ADR information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis to decide if Mogu Inc ADR performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Mogu Inc ADR has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mogu Inc time series from 2nd of May 2022 to 1st of June 2022 and 1st of June 2022 to 1st of July 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mogu Inc ADR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Mogu Inc price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Mogu Inc ADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mogu Inc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mogu Inc's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mogu Inc returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mogu Inc stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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Mogu Inc regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mogu Inc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mogu Inc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mogu Inc stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Mogu Inc Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mogu Inc's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mogu Inc stock have on its future price. Mogu Inc autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mogu Inc autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mogu Inc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mogu Inc ADR.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Mogu Inc Investors Sentiment

The influence of Mogu Inc's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Mogu Inc. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mogu Inc in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mogu Inc's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mogu Inc options trading.

Current Sentiment - MOGU

Mogu Inc ADR Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are evenly split in their trading attitude regarding investing in Mogu Inc ADR. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Mogu Inc ADR? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

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Additionally, see Mogu Inc Hype Analysis, Mogu Inc Correlation, Mogu Inc Valuation, Mogu Inc Volatility, as well as analyze Mogu Inc Alpha and Beta and Mogu Inc Performance. Note that the Mogu Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mogu Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Mogu Inc Stock analysis

When running Mogu Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Mogu Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mogu Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Mogu Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mogu Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mogu Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mogu Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Mogu Inc technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Mogu Inc technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Mogu Inc trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...