Mercadolibre Stock Market Value

MELI -  USA Stock  

USD 1,234  24.61  1.96%

Mercadolibre's market value is the price at which a share of Mercadolibre stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mercadolibre investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mercadolibre and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mercadolibre over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Mercadolibre Hype Analysis, Mercadolibre Correlation, Mercadolibre Valuation, Mercadolibre Volatility, as well as analyze Mercadolibre Alpha and Beta and Mercadolibre Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Is Mercadolibre's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercadolibre. If investors know Mercadolibre will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mercadolibre listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mercadolibre is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mercadolibre that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mercadolibre's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mercadolibre's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mercadolibre's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mercadolibre's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mercadolibre's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mercadolibre value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mercadolibre's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mercadolibre 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mercadolibre's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mercadolibre.
0.00
12/11/2019
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/30/2021
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mercadolibre on December 11, 2019 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mercadolibre or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mercadolibre over 720 days. Mercadolibre is related to or competes with Lightinthebox Holding, Carvana Co, Blue Apron, Imedia Brands, Chewy, and 1847 Goedeker. MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online commerce platforms in Latin America

Mercadolibre Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mercadolibre's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mercadolibre upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mercadolibre Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mercadolibre's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mercadolibre's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mercadolibre historical prices to predict the future Mercadolibre's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mercadolibre's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mercadolibre in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1,1981,2001,358
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1,1111,5661,569
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1,0561,0591,062
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
1,7202,0592,420
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mercadolibre. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mercadolibre's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mercadolibre's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mercadolibre.

Mercadolibre Backtested Returns

Mercadolibre has Sharpe Ratio of -0.26, which conveys that the firm had -0.26% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Mercadolibre exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Mercadolibre mean deviation of 1.99, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16) to check out the risk estimate we provide.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.164, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Mercadolibre's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mercadolibre will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Mercadolibre price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Mercadolibre exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Mercadolibre has an expected return of -0.65%. Please be advised to verify Mercadolibre semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution to decide if Mercadolibre performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
AdviceVolatility TrendExposureCorrelations

Auto-correlation

    
  (0.06)   

Very weak reverse predictability

Mercadolibre has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mercadolibre time series from 11th of December 2019 to 5th of December 2020 and 5th of December 2020 to 30th of November 2021. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mercadolibre price movement. The serial correlation of -0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Mercadolibre price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices. Given that Mercadolibre has negative autocorrelation for selected time horizon, investors may consider taking a contrarian position regarding future price movement of Mercadolibre for similar time interval.
Correlation Coefficient-0.06
Spearman Rank Test-0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance32627.85

Mercadolibre lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mercadolibre stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mercadolibre's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mercadolibre returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mercadolibre stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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Mercadolibre regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mercadolibre stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mercadolibre stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mercadolibre stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Mercadolibre Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mercadolibre's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mercadolibre stock have on its future price. Mercadolibre autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mercadolibre autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mercadolibre stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mercadolibre.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Mercadolibre without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Mercadolibre using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see Mercadolibre Hype Analysis, Mercadolibre Correlation, Mercadolibre Valuation, Mercadolibre Volatility, as well as analyze Mercadolibre Alpha and Beta and Mercadolibre Performance. Note that the Mercadolibre information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mercadolibre's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

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When running Mercadolibre price analysis, check to measure Mercadolibre's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercadolibre is operating at the current time. Most of Mercadolibre's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercadolibre's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercadolibre's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercadolibre to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Mercadolibre technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Mercadolibre technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Mercadolibre trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...