Li Auto Stock Market Value


USD 16.81  0.08  0.48%   

Li Auto's market value is the price at which a share of Li Auto stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Li Auto investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Li Auto and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Li Auto over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Li Auto Correlation, Li Auto Volatility and Li Auto Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Li Auto.

Is Li Auto's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Li Auto. If investors know Li Auto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Li Auto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
16.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Li Auto is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Li Auto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Li Auto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Li Auto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Li Auto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Li Auto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Li Auto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Li Auto value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Li Auto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Li Auto 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Li Auto's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Li Auto.
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
If you would invest  0.00  in Li Auto on December 6, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Li Auto or generate 0.0% return on investment in Li Auto over 720 days. Li Auto is related to or competes with RLX Technology. Li Auto Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells new energy vehicles in the Peoples Re... More

Li Auto Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Li Auto's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Li Auto upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Li Auto Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Li Auto's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Li Auto's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Li Auto historical prices to predict the future Li Auto's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Li Auto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Li Auto in the context of predictive analytics.
LowEstimated ValueHigh
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
7 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Li Auto. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Li Auto's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Li Auto's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Li Auto.

Li Auto Backtested Returns

Li Auto retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.13, which conveys that the firm had -0.13% of return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. Macroaxis viewpoint regarding estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Li Auto exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Li Auto Standard Deviation of 5.57, mean deviation of 4.34, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.88) to check out the risk estimate we provide.
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.7977, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Li Auto's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Li Auto returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Li Auto will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Li Auto existing price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity price patterns. Our way of estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Li Auto exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Li Auto has an expected return of -0.71%. Please be advised to verify Li Auto coefficient of variation, potential upside, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness to decide if Li Auto performance from the past will be repeated in the future.



Poor predictability

Li Auto has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Li Auto time series from 6th of December 2020 to 1st of December 2021 and 1st of December 2021 to 26th of November 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Li Auto price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Li Auto price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance34.69

Li Auto lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Li Auto stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Li Auto's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Li Auto returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Li Auto stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   

Li Auto regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Li Auto stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Li Auto stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Li Auto stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   

Li Auto Lagged Returns

When evaluating Li Auto's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Li Auto stock have on its future price. Li Auto autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Li Auto autocorrelation shows the relationship between Li Auto stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Li Auto.
   Regressed Prices   

Li Auto Investors Sentiment

The influence of Li Auto's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Li Auto. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Li Auto's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Li Auto. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Li Auto can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Li Auto. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Li Auto's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Li Auto's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Li Auto's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Li Auto.

Li Auto Implied Volatility

Li Auto's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Li Auto stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Li Auto's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Li Auto stock will not fluctuate a lot when Li Auto's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Li Auto in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Li Auto's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Li Auto options trading.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Li Auto using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
Additionally, see Li Auto Correlation, Li Auto Volatility and Li Auto Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Li Auto. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Li Auto price analysis, check to measure Li Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Li Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Li Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Li Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Li Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Li Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Li Auto technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Li Auto technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Li Auto trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...