Intra-Cellular Stock Market Value

ITCI
 Stock
  

USD 52.53  1.04  1.94%   

Intra-Cellular Ther's market value is the price at which a share of Intra-Cellular Ther stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Intra-Cellular Ther investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Intra-Cellular Ther and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Intra-Cellular Ther over a given investment horizon. Please see Intra-Cellular Ther Hype Analysis, Intra-Cellular Ther Correlation, Intra-Cellular Ther Valuation, Intra-Cellular Ther Volatility, as well as analyze Intra-Cellular Ther Alpha and Beta and Intra-Cellular Ther Performance.
Symbol


Is Intra-Cellular Ther's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intra-Cellular Ther. If investors know Intra-Cellular will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intra-Cellular Ther listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
5.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.77
Return On Assets
-0.28
Return On Equity
-0.5
The market value of Intra-Cellular Ther is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intra-Cellular that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intra-Cellular Ther's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intra-Cellular Ther's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intra-Cellular Ther's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intra-Cellular Ther's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intra-Cellular Ther's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Intra-Cellular Ther value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intra-Cellular Ther's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Intra-Cellular Ther 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Intra-Cellular Ther's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Intra-Cellular Ther.
0.00
08/26/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
08/16/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Intra-Cellular Ther on August 26, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Intra-Cellular Ther or generate 0.0% return on investment in Intra-Cellular Ther over 720 days. Intra-Cellular Ther is related to or competes with Exxon. Intra-Cellular Therapies, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, develops novel drugs for the treatment of neuropsychiatric ...More

Intra-Cellular Ther Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Intra-Cellular Ther's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Intra-Cellular Ther upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Intra-Cellular Ther Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Intra-Cellular Ther's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Intra-Cellular Ther's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Intra-Cellular Ther historical prices to predict the future Intra-Cellular Ther's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intra-Cellular Ther's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Intra-Cellular Ther in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
49.3152.4455.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
49.6252.7555.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
52.3955.5158.64
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
46.0060.0085.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intra-Cellular Ther. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intra-Cellular Ther's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intra-Cellular Ther's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Intra-Cellular Ther.

Intra-Cellular Ther Backtested Returns

Intra-Cellular Ther holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0406, which attests that the entity had -0.0406% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards determining the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Intra-Cellular Ther exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check out Intra-Cellular Ther Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.016, downside deviation of 2.88, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0338 to validate the risk estimate we provide.
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.646, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Intra-Cellular's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Intra-Cellular Ther returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Intra-Cellular Ther will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Intra-Cellular Ther current price history, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current price movements. Our philosophy towards determining any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Intra-Cellular Ther exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Intra-Cellular Ther has an expected return of -0.13%. Please be advised to check out Intra-Cellular Ther expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power to decide if Intra-Cellular Ther performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.67  

Good predictability

Intra-Cellular Ther has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Intra-Cellular Ther time series from 26th of August 2020 to 21st of August 2021 and 21st of August 2021 to 16th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Intra-Cellular Ther price movement. The serial correlation of 0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Intra-Cellular Ther price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.67
Spearman Rank Test0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance82.54

Intra-Cellular Ther lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Intra-Cellular Ther stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Intra-Cellular Ther's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Intra-Cellular Ther returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Intra-Cellular Ther stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Intra-Cellular Ther regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Intra-Cellular Ther stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Intra-Cellular Ther stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Intra-Cellular Ther stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Intra-Cellular Ther Lagged Returns

When evaluating Intra-Cellular Ther's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Intra-Cellular Ther stock have on its future price. Intra-Cellular Ther autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Intra-Cellular Ther autocorrelation shows the relationship between Intra-Cellular Ther stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Intra-Cellular Ther.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Intra-Cellular Ther without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Risk-Return Analysis

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Please see Intra-Cellular Ther Hype Analysis, Intra-Cellular Ther Correlation, Intra-Cellular Ther Valuation, Intra-Cellular Ther Volatility, as well as analyze Intra-Cellular Ther Alpha and Beta and Intra-Cellular Ther Performance. Note that the Intra-Cellular Ther information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Intra-Cellular Ther's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running Intra-Cellular Ther price analysis, check to measure Intra-Cellular Ther's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intra-Cellular Ther is operating at the current time. Most of Intra-Cellular Ther's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intra-Cellular Ther's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intra-Cellular Ther's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intra-Cellular Ther to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Intra-Cellular Ther technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Intra-Cellular Ther technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Intra-Cellular Ther trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...