Inspired Stock Market Value

INSE
 Stock
  

USD 11.92  0.17  1.45%   

Inspired Entertainment's market value is the price at which a share of Inspired Entertainment stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Inspired Entertainment investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Inspired Entertainment and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Inspired Entertainment over a given investment horizon. Please see Inspired Entertainment Correlation, Inspired Entertainment Volatility and Inspired Entertainment Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Inspired Entertainment.
Symbol


Is Inspired Entertainment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inspired Entertainment. If investors know Inspired will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inspired Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.17
Market Capitalization
308.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.035) 
Return On Assets
0.094
The market value of Inspired Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inspired that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inspired Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inspired Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inspired Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inspired Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inspired Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Inspired Entertainment value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inspired Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Inspired Entertainment 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Inspired Entertainment's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Inspired Entertainment.
0.00
06/04/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 24 days
11/26/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Inspired Entertainment on June 4, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Inspired Entertainment or generate 0.0% return on investment in Inspired Entertainment over 540 days. Inspired Entertainment is related to or competes with Gvc Holdings. Inspired Entertainment, Inc., a business-to-business gaming technology company, supplies content, platform, and other pr... More

Inspired Entertainment Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Inspired Entertainment's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Inspired Entertainment upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Inspired Entertainment Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Inspired Entertainment's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Inspired Entertainment's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Inspired Entertainment historical prices to predict the future Inspired Entertainment's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inspired Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Inspired Entertainment in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.6211.7114.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.6313.7216.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.2212.3115.39
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.0022.0030.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inspired Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inspired Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inspired Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Inspired Entertainment.

Inspired Entertainment Backtested Returns

Inspired Entertainment appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Inspired Entertainment holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0658, which attests that the entity had 0.0658% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Inspired Entertainment, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please utilize Inspired Entertainment's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0913, downside deviation of 2.88, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.055 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Inspired Entertainment holds a performance score of 5. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.2113, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Inspired's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Inspired Entertainment will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Inspired Entertainment current price history, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current price movements. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By evaluating Inspired Entertainment technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.2% will be sustainable into the future. Please utilizes Inspired Entertainment variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to make a quick decision on whether Inspired Entertainment current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.06  

Virtually no predictability

Inspired Entertainment has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Inspired Entertainment time series from 4th of June 2021 to 1st of March 2022 and 1st of March 2022 to 26th of November 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Inspired Entertainment price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Inspired Entertainment price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.06
Spearman Rank Test-0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.11

Inspired Entertainment lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Inspired Entertainment stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Inspired Entertainment's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Inspired Entertainment returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Inspired Entertainment stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Inspired Entertainment regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Inspired Entertainment stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Inspired Entertainment stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Inspired Entertainment stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Inspired Entertainment Lagged Returns

When evaluating Inspired Entertainment's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Inspired Entertainment stock have on its future price. Inspired Entertainment autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Inspired Entertainment autocorrelation shows the relationship between Inspired Entertainment stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Inspired Entertainment.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Inspired Entertainment Investors Sentiment

The influence of Inspired Entertainment's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Inspired. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Inspired Entertainment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Inspired. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Inspired can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Inspired Entertainment. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Inspired Entertainment's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Inspired Entertainment's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Inspired Entertainment's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Inspired Entertainment.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Inspired Entertainment in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Inspired Entertainment's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Inspired Entertainment options trading.

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Please see Inspired Entertainment Correlation, Inspired Entertainment Volatility and Inspired Entertainment Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Inspired Entertainment. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Inspired Entertainment price analysis, check to measure Inspired Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inspired Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Inspired Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inspired Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inspired Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inspired Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Inspired Entertainment technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Inspired Entertainment technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Inspired Entertainment trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...