Honda Stock Market Value

HMC
 Stock
  

USD 21.59  0.60  2.70%   

Honda's market value is the price at which a share of Honda stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Honda Motor investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Honda Motor and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Honda over a given investment horizon. Please check Honda Correlation, Honda Volatility and Honda Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Honda.
Symbol


Is Honda's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Honda. If investors know Honda will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Honda listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Honda Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Honda that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Honda's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Honda's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Honda's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Honda's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Honda's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Honda value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Honda's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Honda 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Honda's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Honda.
0.00
10/13/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
10/03/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Honda on October 13, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Honda Motor or generate 0.0% return on investment in Honda over 720 days. Honda is related to or competes with Amazon. Honda Motor Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, power products, and other produc... More

Honda Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Honda's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Honda Motor upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Honda Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Honda's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Honda's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Honda historical prices to predict the future Honda's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Honda's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Honda in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
19.8921.6023.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
19.4325.6027.31
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
35.2036.2337.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Honda. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Honda's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Honda's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Honda Motor.

Honda Motor Backtested Returns

Honda Motor holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0727, which attests that the entity had -0.0727% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards determining the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Honda Motor exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check out Honda market risk adjusted performance of (0.18), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11) to validate the risk estimate we provide.
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.9818, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Honda's beta means in this case. Honda returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Honda is expected to follow. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Honda Motor current price history, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current price movements. Our philosophy towards determining any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Honda Motor exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Honda Motor has an expected return of -0.13%. Please be advised to check out Honda maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if Honda Motor performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.78  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Honda Motor has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Honda time series from 13th of October 2020 to 8th of October 2021 and 8th of October 2021 to 3rd of October 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Honda Motor price movement. The serial correlation of -0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Honda price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.78
Spearman Rank Test-0.71
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.05

Honda Motor lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Honda stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Honda's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Honda returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Honda stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Honda regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Honda stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Honda stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Honda stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Honda Lagged Returns

When evaluating Honda's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Honda stock have on its future price. Honda autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Honda autocorrelation shows the relationship between Honda stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Honda Motor.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Honda in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Honda's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Honda options trading.

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Please check Honda Correlation, Honda Volatility and Honda Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Honda. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Honda Motor price analysis, check to measure Honda's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Honda is operating at the current time. Most of Honda's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Honda's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Honda's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Honda to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Honda technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Honda technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Honda trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...