Hawaiian Stock Market Value

HA
 Stock
  

USD 13.77  0.12  0.86%   

Hawaiian Holdings' market value is the price at which a share of Hawaiian Holdings stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hawaiian Holdings investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hawaiian Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hawaiian Holdings over a given investment horizon. Please check Hawaiian Holdings Correlation, Hawaiian Holdings Volatility and Hawaiian Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hawaiian Holdings.
Symbol


Is Hawaiian Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hawaiian Holdings. If investors know Hawaiian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hawaiian Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hawaiian Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hawaiian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hawaiian Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hawaiian Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hawaiian Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hawaiian Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hawaiian Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hawaiian Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hawaiian Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hawaiian Holdings 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hawaiian Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hawaiian Holdings.
0.00
02/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 9 months and 27 days
12/02/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hawaiian Holdings on February 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hawaiian Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hawaiian Holdings over 300 days. Hawaiian Holdings is related to or competes with Anheuser-Busch InBev, Anheuser Busch, Etsy, Linde PLC, Procter Gamble, American Express, and Cisco Systems. Hawaiian Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, Hawaiian Airlines, Inc., engages in the scheduled air transportation of... More

Hawaiian Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hawaiian Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hawaiian Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hawaiian Holdings Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hawaiian Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hawaiian Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hawaiian Holdings historical prices to predict the future Hawaiian Holdings' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hawaiian Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hawaiian Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.5813.7816.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
12.3917.0320.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.8714.0817.28
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0026.4032.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hawaiian Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hawaiian Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hawaiian Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hawaiian Holdings.

Hawaiian Holdings Backtested Returns

Hawaiian Holdings holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0263, which attests that the entity had -0.0263% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards determining the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Hawaiian Holdings exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check out Hawaiian Holdings risk adjusted performance of (0.039199), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to validate the risk estimate we provide.
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.4906, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Hawaiian's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Hawaiian Holdings will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Hawaiian Holdings current price history, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current price movements. Our philosophy towards determining any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Hawaiian Holdings exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Hawaiian Holdings has an expected return of -0.0843%. Please be advised to check out Hawaiian Holdings potential upside, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if Hawaiian Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.53  

Modest predictability

Hawaiian Holdings has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hawaiian Holdings time series from 5th of February 2022 to 5th of July 2022 and 5th of July 2022 to 2nd of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hawaiian Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Hawaiian Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.53
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.9

Hawaiian Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hawaiian Holdings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hawaiian Holdings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hawaiian Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hawaiian Holdings stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Hawaiian Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hawaiian Holdings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hawaiian Holdings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hawaiian Holdings stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Hawaiian Holdings Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hawaiian Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hawaiian Holdings stock have on its future price. Hawaiian Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hawaiian Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hawaiian Holdings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hawaiian Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Hawaiian Holdings without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Please check Hawaiian Holdings Correlation, Hawaiian Holdings Volatility and Hawaiian Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hawaiian Holdings. Note that the Hawaiian Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hawaiian Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Complementary Tools for Hawaiian Stock analysis

When running Hawaiian Holdings price analysis, check to measure Hawaiian Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hawaiian Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Hawaiian Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hawaiian Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hawaiian Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hawaiian Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Hawaiian Holdings technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Hawaiian Holdings technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Hawaiian Holdings trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...