Green Stock Market Value

GDOT
 Stock
  

USD 19.20  1.18  5.79%   

Green Dot's market value is the price at which a share of Green Dot stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Green Dot investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Green Dot and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Green Dot over a given investment horizon. Please check Green Dot Correlation, Green Dot Volatility and Green Dot Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Green Dot.
Symbol


Is Green Dot's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Dot. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Dot listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.33) 
Market Capitalization
1.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.013
Return On Assets
0.0105
Return On Equity
0.0514
The market value of Green Dot is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Dot's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Dot's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Dot's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Dot's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Dot's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Green Dot value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Dot's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Green Dot 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Green Dot's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Green Dot.
0.00
05/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 29 days
12/01/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Green Dot on May 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Green Dot or generate 0.0% return on investment in Green Dot over 210 days. Green Dot is related to or competes with Procter Gamble. Green Dot Corporation, a financial technology and bank holding company, provides various financial products to consumers... More

Green Dot Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Green Dot's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Green Dot upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Green Dot Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Green Dot's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Green Dot's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Green Dot historical prices to predict the future Green Dot's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Green Dot's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Green Dot in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16.0019.1522.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.2827.1330.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.9620.1123.26
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
42.0054.0065.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Green Dot. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Green Dot's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Green Dot's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Green Dot.

Green Dot Backtested Returns

We consider Green Dot not too volatile. Green Dot holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0248, which attests that the entity had 0.0248% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Green Dot, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please check out Green Dot Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0224, downside deviation of 2.83, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0338 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0781%.
Green Dot has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.0713, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Green's beta means in this case. Green Dot returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Green Dot is expected to follow. Although it is important to respect Green Dot current price history, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current price movements. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By evaluating Green Dot technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0781% will be sustainable into the future. Green Dot right now retains a risk of 3.15%. Please check out Green Dot variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if Green Dot will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.24  

Weak predictability

Green Dot has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Green Dot time series from 5th of May 2022 to 18th of August 2022 and 18th of August 2022 to 1st of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Green Dot price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Green Dot price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.24
Spearman Rank Test0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.18

Green Dot lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Green Dot stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Green Dot's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Green Dot returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Green Dot stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Green Dot regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Green Dot stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Green Dot stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Green Dot stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Green Dot Lagged Returns

When evaluating Green Dot's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Green Dot stock have on its future price. Green Dot autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Green Dot autocorrelation shows the relationship between Green Dot stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Green Dot.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Green Dot Investors Sentiment

The influence of Green Dot's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Green. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Green Dot's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Green. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Green can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Green Dot. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Green Dot's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Green Dot's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Green Dot's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Green Dot.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Green Dot in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Green Dot's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Green Dot options trading.

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Please check Green Dot Correlation, Green Dot Volatility and Green Dot Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Green Dot. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Green Dot price analysis, check to measure Green Dot's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Dot is operating at the current time. Most of Green Dot's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Dot's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Dot's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Dot to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Green Dot technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Green Dot technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Green Dot trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...