Arcimoto Stock Market Value

FUV
 Stock
  

USD 7.45  0.75  9.15%   

Arcimoto's market value is the price at which a share of Arcimoto stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Arcimoto investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Arcimoto and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Arcimoto over a given investment horizon. Please check Arcimoto Correlation, Arcimoto Volatility and Arcimoto Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Arcimoto.
Symbol


Is Arcimoto's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arcimoto. If investors know Arcimoto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arcimoto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Arcimoto is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arcimoto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arcimoto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arcimoto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arcimoto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arcimoto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arcimoto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Arcimoto value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arcimoto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Arcimoto 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Arcimoto's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Arcimoto.
0.00
12/11/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/01/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Arcimoto on December 11, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Arcimoto or generate 0.0% return on investment in Arcimoto over 720 days. Arcimoto, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells, and rents three-wheeled electric vehicles in the United States More

Arcimoto Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Arcimoto's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Arcimoto upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Arcimoto Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Arcimoto's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Arcimoto's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Arcimoto historical prices to predict the future Arcimoto's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arcimoto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Arcimoto in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.929.2015.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.6411.9218.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.528.7915.07
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.0015.0019.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Arcimoto. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Arcimoto's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Arcimoto's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Arcimoto.

Arcimoto Backtested Returns

Arcimoto secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.37, which signifies that the company had -0.37% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Macroaxis philosophy in foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Arcimoto exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm Arcimoto risk adjusted performance of (0.57), and Mean Deviation of 4.81 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.6065, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Arcimoto's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Arcimoto will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Arcimoto historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy in foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Arcimoto exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Arcimoto has an expected return of -2.37%. Please be advised to confirm Arcimoto potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and accumulation distribution to decide if Arcimoto performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.44  

Average predictability

Arcimoto has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Arcimoto time series from 11th of December 2020 to 6th of December 2021 and 6th of December 2021 to 1st of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Arcimoto price movement. The serial correlation of 0.44 indicates that just about 44.0% of current Arcimoto price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.44
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2417.16

Arcimoto lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Arcimoto stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Arcimoto's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Arcimoto returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Arcimoto stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Arcimoto regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Arcimoto stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Arcimoto stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Arcimoto stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Arcimoto Lagged Returns

When evaluating Arcimoto's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Arcimoto stock have on its future price. Arcimoto autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Arcimoto autocorrelation shows the relationship between Arcimoto stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Arcimoto.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Arcimoto in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Arcimoto's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Arcimoto options trading.

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Please check Arcimoto Correlation, Arcimoto Volatility and Arcimoto Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Arcimoto. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Arcimoto price analysis, check to measure Arcimoto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arcimoto is operating at the current time. Most of Arcimoto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arcimoto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arcimoto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arcimoto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Arcimoto technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Arcimoto technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Arcimoto trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...