Shift4 Stock Market Value

FOUR
 Stock
  

USD 34.93  1.87  5.66%   

Shift4 Payments' market value is the price at which a share of Shift4 Payments stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shift4 Payments investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shift4 Payments and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shift4 Payments over a given investment horizon. Please check Shift4 Payments Hype Analysis, Shift4 Payments Correlation, Shift4 Payments Valuation, Shift4 Payments Volatility, as well as analyze Shift4 Payments Alpha and Beta and Shift4 Payments Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Is Shift4 Payments' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shift4 Payments. If investors know Shift4 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shift4 Payments listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
3.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.68
Return On Assets
8.0E-4
Return On Equity
-0.0749
The market value of Shift4 Payments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shift4 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shift4 Payments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shift4 Payments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shift4 Payments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shift4 Payments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shift4 Payments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Shift4 Payments value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shift4 Payments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shift4 Payments 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shift4 Payments' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shift4 Payments.
0.00
07/13/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
07/03/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shift4 Payments on July 13, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shift4 Payments or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shift4 Payments over 720 days. Shift4 Payments is related to or competes with Blackberry, Black Knight, ATT, Travelers Companies, Akamai Technologies, B of A, and Procter Gamble. Shift4 Payments, Inc. provides integrated payment processing and technology solutions in the United StatesMore

Shift4 Payments Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shift4 Payments' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shift4 Payments upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shift4 Payments Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shift4 Payments' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shift4 Payments' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shift4 Payments historical prices to predict the future Shift4 Payments' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shift4 Payments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Shift4 Payments in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
28.5333.5138.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
31.4450.3955.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
35.7040.6845.66
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
69.0097.50115.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shift4 Payments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shift4 Payments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shift4 Payments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Shift4 Payments.

Shift4 Payments Backtested Returns

Shift4 Payments owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.17, which indicates the firm had -0.17% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards measuring the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Shift4 Payments exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate Shift4 Payments risk adjusted performance of (0.23), and Coefficient Of Variation of (596.18) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
The entity has a beta of 2.0881, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Shift4's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Shift4 Payments will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Shift4 Payments current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Our philosophy towards measuring any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Shift4 Payments exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Shift4 Payments has an expected return of -0.87%. Please be advised to validate Shift4 Payments semi deviation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the Jensen Alpha and semi variance to decide if Shift4 Payments performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.83  

Excellent reverse predictability

Shift4 Payments has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shift4 Payments time series from 13th of July 2020 to 8th of July 2021 and 8th of July 2021 to 3rd of July 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shift4 Payments price movement. The serial correlation of -0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Shift4 Payments price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.83
Spearman Rank Test-0.83
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance273.26

Shift4 Payments lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shift4 Payments stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shift4 Payments' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shift4 Payments returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shift4 Payments stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
Share
      Timeline 

Shift4 Payments regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shift4 Payments stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shift4 Payments stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shift4 Payments stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Shift4 Payments Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shift4 Payments' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shift4 Payments stock have on its future price. Shift4 Payments autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shift4 Payments autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shift4 Payments stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shift4 Payments.
 Regressed Prices 
Share
      Timeline 

Shift4 Payments Investors Sentiment

The influence of Shift4 Payments' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Shift4. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Shift4 Payments Implied Volatility

    
  142.27  
Shift4 Payments' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shift4 Payments stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shift4 Payments' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shift4 Payments stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shift4 Payments' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Shift4 Payments in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Shift4 Payments' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Shift4 Payments options trading.

Current Sentiment - FOUR

Shift4 Payments Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are insensible in their opinion about investing in Shift4 Payments. What is your outlook on investing in Shift4 Payments? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish

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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Shift4 Payments using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please check Shift4 Payments Hype Analysis, Shift4 Payments Correlation, Shift4 Payments Valuation, Shift4 Payments Volatility, as well as analyze Shift4 Payments Alpha and Beta and Shift4 Payments Performance. Note that the Shift4 Payments information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Shift4 Payments' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Shere Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for Shift4 Stock analysis

When running Shift4 Payments price analysis, check to measure Shift4 Payments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shift4 Payments is operating at the current time. Most of Shift4 Payments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shift4 Payments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shift4 Payments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shift4 Payments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Shift4 Payments technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Shift4 Payments technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Shift4 Payments trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...