Shift4 Stock Market Value

FOUR
 Stock
  

USD 49.38  1.34  2.79%   

Shift4 Payments' market value is the price at which a share of Shift4 Payments stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shift4 Payments investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shift4 Payments and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shift4 Payments over a given investment horizon. Please check Shift4 Payments Hype Analysis, Shift4 Payments Correlation, Shift4 Payments Valuation, Shift4 Payments Volatility, as well as analyze Shift4 Payments Alpha and Beta and Shift4 Payments Performance.
Symbol


Is Shift4 Payments' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shift4 Payments. If investors know Shift4 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shift4 Payments listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.28
Market Capitalization
5.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.44
Return On Assets
0.0126
Return On Equity
-0.072
The market value of Shift4 Payments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shift4 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shift4 Payments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shift4 Payments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shift4 Payments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shift4 Payments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shift4 Payments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Shift4 Payments value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shift4 Payments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shift4 Payments 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shift4 Payments' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shift4 Payments.
0.00
07/14/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
08/13/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shift4 Payments on July 14, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shift4 Payments or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shift4 Payments over 30 days. Shift4 Payments is related to or competes with Adobe Systems, Appian Corp, Arqit Quantum, Tesla, Velodyne Lidar, Essential Properties, and Irobot Corp. Shift4 Payments, Inc. provides integrated payment processing and technology solutions in the United StatesMore

Shift4 Payments Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shift4 Payments' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shift4 Payments upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shift4 Payments Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shift4 Payments' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shift4 Payments' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shift4 Payments historical prices to predict the future Shift4 Payments' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shift4 Payments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Shift4 Payments in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
45.2849.7654.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
44.4459.3663.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
49.7954.2658.74
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
69.0097.50115.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shift4 Payments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shift4 Payments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shift4 Payments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Shift4 Payments.

Shift4 Payments Backtested Returns

Shift4 Payments appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Shift4 Payments owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.058, which indicates the firm had 0.058% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Shift4 Payments, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please review Shift4 Payments' Semi Deviation of 4.54, coefficient of variation of 1186.28, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1128 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Shift4 Payments holds a performance score of 4. The entity has a beta of 2.2549, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Shift4's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Shift4 Payments will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Shift4 Payments current price movements, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Shift4 Payments technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.26% will be sustainable into the future. Please operates Shift4 Payments sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and rate of daily change to make a quick decision on whether Shift4 Payments existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

Shift4 Payments has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shift4 Payments time series from 14th of July 2022 to 29th of July 2022 and 29th of July 2022 to 13th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shift4 Payments price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Shift4 Payments price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance20.42

Shift4 Payments lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shift4 Payments stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shift4 Payments' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shift4 Payments returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shift4 Payments stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Shift4 Payments regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shift4 Payments stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shift4 Payments stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shift4 Payments stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Shift4 Payments Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shift4 Payments' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shift4 Payments stock have on its future price. Shift4 Payments autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shift4 Payments autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shift4 Payments stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shift4 Payments.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Shift4 Payments Investors Sentiment

The influence of Shift4 Payments' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Shift4. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Shift4 Payments' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Shift4. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Shift4 can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Shift4 Payments. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Shift4 Payments' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Shift4 Payments' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Shift4 Payments' news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Shift4 Payments.

Shift4 Payments Implied Volatility

    
  66.67  
Shift4 Payments' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shift4 Payments stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shift4 Payments' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shift4 Payments stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shift4 Payments' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Shift4 Payments in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Shift4 Payments' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Shift4 Payments options trading.

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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Shift4 Payments using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please check Shift4 Payments Hype Analysis, Shift4 Payments Correlation, Shift4 Payments Valuation, Shift4 Payments Volatility, as well as analyze Shift4 Payments Alpha and Beta and Shift4 Payments Performance. Note that the Shift4 Payments information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Shift4 Payments' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running Shift4 Payments price analysis, check to measure Shift4 Payments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shift4 Payments is operating at the current time. Most of Shift4 Payments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shift4 Payments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shift4 Payments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shift4 Payments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Shift4 Payments technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Shift4 Payments technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Shift4 Payments trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...