Dollar Stock Market Value

DLTR
 Stock
  

USD 165.93  0.83  0.50%   

Dollar Tree's market value is the price at which a share of Dollar Tree stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dollar Tree investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dollar Tree and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dollar Tree over a given investment horizon. Continue to Dollar Tree Hype Analysis, Dollar Tree Correlation, Dollar Tree Valuation, Dollar Tree Volatility, as well as analyze Dollar Tree Alpha and Beta and Dollar Tree Performance.
Symbol


Is Dollar Tree's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dollar Tree. If investors know Dollar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dollar Tree listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.48
Market Capitalization
37.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.065
Return On Assets
0.0593
Return On Equity
0.19
The market value of Dollar Tree is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dollar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dollar Tree's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dollar Tree's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dollar Tree's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dollar Tree's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dollar Tree's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Dollar Tree value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dollar Tree's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dollar Tree 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dollar Tree's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dollar Tree.
0.00
08/26/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
08/16/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dollar Tree on August 26, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dollar Tree or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dollar Tree over 720 days. Dollar Tree is related to or competes with Home Depot, B of A, Johnson Johnson, International Business, Verizon Communications, Pfizer, and Alcoa Corp. The Dollar Tree segment offers merchandise at the fixed price of 1.25More

Dollar Tree Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dollar Tree's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dollar Tree upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dollar Tree Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dollar Tree's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dollar Tree's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dollar Tree historical prices to predict the future Dollar Tree's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dollar Tree's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Dollar Tree in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
162.04165.87169.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
132.57136.40182.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
167.82171.66175.49
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
108.00144.62175.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Dollar Tree. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Dollar Tree's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Dollar Tree's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Dollar Tree.

Dollar Tree Backtested Returns

Dollar Tree appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Dollar Tree secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which denotes the company had 0.12% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards predicting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Dollar Tree, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please utilize Dollar Tree's Coefficient Of Variation of 2350.88, mean deviation of 1.87, and Downside Deviation of 3.52 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Dollar Tree holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.2542, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Dollar's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Dollar Tree will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Dollar Tree historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards predicting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By reviewing Dollar Tree technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.4% will be sustainable into the future. Please utilizes Dollar Tree treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day median price to make a quick decision on whether Dollar Tree price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.64  

Good predictability

Dollar Tree has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dollar Tree time series from 26th of August 2020 to 21st of August 2021 and 21st of August 2021 to 16th of August 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dollar Tree price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Dollar Tree price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.64
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance655.21

Dollar Tree lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dollar Tree stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dollar Tree's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dollar Tree returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dollar Tree stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
Share
       Timeline  

Dollar Tree regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dollar Tree stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dollar Tree stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dollar Tree stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Dollar Tree Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dollar Tree's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dollar Tree stock have on its future price. Dollar Tree autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dollar Tree autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dollar Tree stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dollar Tree.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Dollar Tree Investors Sentiment

The influence of Dollar Tree's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Dollar. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Dollar Tree's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Dollar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dollar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dollar Tree. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Dollar Tree's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Dollar Tree's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Dollar Tree's news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Dollar Tree.

Dollar Tree Implied Volatility

    
  53.61  
Dollar Tree's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dollar Tree stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dollar Tree's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dollar Tree stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dollar Tree's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Dollar Tree in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Dollar Tree's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Dollar Tree options trading.

Pair Trading with Dollar Tree

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dollar Tree position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dollar Tree will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Dollar Tree

0.81BJBjs Wholesale Club Earnings Call  This WeekPairCorr
0.78COSTCostco Wholesale Fiscal Year End 22nd of September 2022 PairCorr

Moving against Dollar Tree

0.52ALCOAlico Inc Fiscal Year End 6th of December 2022 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dollar Tree could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dollar Tree when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dollar Tree - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dollar Tree to buy it.
The correlation of Dollar Tree is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dollar Tree moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dollar Tree moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dollar Tree can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Dollar Tree Hype Analysis, Dollar Tree Correlation, Dollar Tree Valuation, Dollar Tree Volatility, as well as analyze Dollar Tree Alpha and Beta and Dollar Tree Performance. Note that the Dollar Tree information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dollar Tree's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for Dollar Stock analysis

When running Dollar Tree price analysis, check to measure Dollar Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Dollar Tree technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Dollar Tree technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Dollar Tree trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...