Commvault Stock Market Value

CVLT
 Stock
  

USD 65.05  1.00  1.51%   

Commvault Systems' market value is the price at which a share of Commvault Systems stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Commvault Systems investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Commvault Systems and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Commvault Systems over a given investment horizon. Continue to Commvault Systems Correlation, Commvault Systems Volatility and Commvault Systems Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Commvault Systems.
Symbol


Is Commvault Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commvault Systems. If investors know Commvault will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Commvault Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.64
Market Capitalization
2.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.057
Return On Assets
0.0312
Return On Equity
0.0921
The market value of Commvault Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Commvault that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Commvault Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Commvault Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Commvault Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Commvault Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Commvault Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Commvault Systems value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Commvault Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Commvault Systems 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Commvault Systems' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Commvault Systems.
0.00
12/08/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/28/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Commvault Systems on December 8, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Commvault Systems or generate 0.0% return on investment in Commvault Systems over 720 days. Commvault Systems is related to or competes with Salesforce, Intuit, Servicenow, Snowflake Inc, and Cadence Design. Commvault Systems, Inc. provides data protection and information management software applications and related services i... More

Commvault Systems Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Commvault Systems' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Commvault Systems upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Commvault Systems Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Commvault Systems' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Commvault Systems' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Commvault Systems historical prices to predict the future Commvault Systems' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commvault Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Commvault Systems in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
63.4965.2366.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
58.5576.0677.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
62.7864.5266.26
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
64.0078.8085.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Commvault Systems. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Commvault Systems' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Commvault Systems' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Commvault Systems.

Commvault Systems Backtested Returns

Commvault Systems appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Commvault Systems secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had 0.17% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Commvault Systems, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Commvault Systems' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.195, downside deviation of 1.76, and Mean Deviation of 1.3 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Commvault Systems holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.8846, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Commvault's beta means in this case. Commvault Systems returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Commvault Systems is expected to follow. Although it is vital to follow Commvault Systems historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Commvault Systems technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.29% will be sustainable into the future. Please makes use of Commvault Systems treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and day median price to make a quick decision on whether Commvault Systems price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

Commvault Systems has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Commvault Systems time series from 8th of December 2020 to 3rd of December 2021 and 3rd of December 2021 to 28th of November 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Commvault Systems price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Commvault Systems price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.29
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance24.18

Commvault Systems lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Commvault Systems stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Commvault Systems' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Commvault Systems returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Commvault Systems stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Commvault Systems regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Commvault Systems stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Commvault Systems stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Commvault Systems stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Commvault Systems Lagged Returns

When evaluating Commvault Systems' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Commvault Systems stock have on its future price. Commvault Systems autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Commvault Systems autocorrelation shows the relationship between Commvault Systems stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Commvault Systems.
   Regressed Prices   
Share
       Timeline  

Commvault Systems Investors Sentiment

The influence of Commvault Systems' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Commvault. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Commvault Systems' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Commvault. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Commvault can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Commvault Systems. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Commvault Systems' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Commvault Systems' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Commvault Systems' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Commvault Systems.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Commvault Systems in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Commvault Systems' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Commvault Systems options trading.

Pair Trading with Commvault Systems

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Commvault Systems position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Commvault Systems will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Commvault Systems

-0.75AVALGrupo Aval Acciones Sell-off TrendPairCorr
-0.68SNOWSnowflake Inc Earnings Call  This WeekPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Commvault Systems could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Commvault Systems when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Commvault Systems - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Commvault Systems to buy it.
The correlation of Commvault Systems is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Commvault Systems moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Commvault Systems moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Commvault Systems can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Commvault Systems Correlation, Commvault Systems Volatility and Commvault Systems Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Commvault Systems. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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When running Commvault Systems price analysis, check to measure Commvault Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commvault Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Commvault Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commvault Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commvault Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commvault Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Commvault Systems technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Commvault Systems technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Commvault Systems trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...