British Stock Market Value

BTI
 Stock
  

USD 42.91  0.92  2.10%   

British Amer's market value is the price at which a share of British Amer stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of British American Tobacco investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of British American Tobacco and determine expected loss or profit from investing in British Amer over a given investment horizon. Continue to British Amer Hype Analysis, British Amer Correlation, British Amer Valuation, British Amer Volatility, as well as analyze British Amer Alpha and Beta and British Amer Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Is British Amer's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of British Amer. If investors know British will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about British Amer listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.2
Market Capitalization
99 B
Return On Assets
0.05
Return On Equity
0.11
The market value of British American Tobacco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of British that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of British Amer's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is British Amer's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because British Amer's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect British Amer's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between British Amer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine British Amer value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, British Amer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

British Amer 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to British Amer's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of British Amer.
0.00
05/02/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
07/01/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in British Amer on May 2, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding British American Tobacco or generate 0.0% return on investment in British Amer over 60 days. British Amer is related to or competes with Philip Morris, Genesis Unicorn, Mereo Biopharma, Hp, McDonalds Corp, Merck, and Cisco Systems. British American Tobacco p.l.c. provides tobacco and nicotine products to consumers worldwideMore

British Amer Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure British Amer's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess British American Tobacco upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

British Amer Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for British Amer's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as British Amer's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use British Amer historical prices to predict the future British Amer's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of British Amer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of British Amer in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
41.4142.9044.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
38.6247.8249.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
43.7445.2346.72
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
50.0050.5651.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as British Amer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against British Amer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, British Amer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in British American Tobacco.

British American Tobacco Backtested Returns

We consider British Amer very steady. British American Tobacco secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0139, which signifies that the company had 0.0139% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for British American Tobacco, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm British American Tobacco Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0012, mean deviation of 1.15, and Downside Deviation of 1.45 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0206%.
British Amer has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.6176, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what British's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, British Amer returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding British Amer will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is important to respect British American Tobacco historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing British American Tobacco technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0206% will be sustainable into the future. British American Tobacco right now shows a risk of 1.49%. Please confirm British American Tobacco variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if British American Tobacco will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.13  

Insignificant reverse predictability

British American Tobacco has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between British Amer time series from 2nd of May 2022 to 1st of June 2022 and 1st of June 2022 to 1st of July 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of British American Tobacco price movement. The serial correlation of -0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current British Amer price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.13
Spearman Rank Test-0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.85

British American Tobacco lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is British Amer stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting British Amer's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of British Amer returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that British Amer stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
Share
      Timeline 

British Amer regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If British Amer stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if British Amer stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in British Amer stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
Share
      Timeline 

British Amer Lagged Returns

When evaluating British Amer's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of British Amer stock have on its future price. British Amer autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, British Amer autocorrelation shows the relationship between British Amer stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in British American Tobacco.
 Regressed Prices 
Share
      Timeline 

British Amer Investors Sentiment

The influence of British Amer's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in British. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

British Amer Implied Volatility

    
  37.65  
British Amer's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of British American Tobacco stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if British Amer's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that British Amer stock will not fluctuate a lot when British Amer's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards British Amer in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, British Amer's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from British Amer options trading.

Current Sentiment - BTI

British American Tobacco Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are currently bullish on British American Tobacco. What is your opinion about investing in British American Tobacco? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish

Pair Trading with British Amer

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if British Amer position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in British Amer will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

British Amer Pair Correlation

Correlation Analysis For Direct Indexing and Tax-loss Harvesting

The ability to find closely correlated positions to British Amer could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace British Amer when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back British Amer - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling British American Tobacco to buy it.
The correlation of British Amer is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as British Amer moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if British American Tobacco moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for British Amer can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to British Amer Hype Analysis, British Amer Correlation, British Amer Valuation, British Amer Volatility, as well as analyze British Amer Alpha and Beta and British Amer Performance. Note that the British American Tobacco information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other British Amer's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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When running British American Tobacco price analysis, check to measure British Amer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy British Amer is operating at the current time. Most of British Amer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of British Amer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move British Amer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of British Amer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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British Amer technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of British Amer technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of British Amer trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...