Barnes Stock Market Value

BNED
 Stock
  

USD 2.38  0.14  6.25%   

Barnes Noble's market value is the price at which a share of Barnes Noble stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Barnes Noble Education investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Barnes Noble Education and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Barnes Noble over a given investment horizon. Continue to Barnes Noble Correlation, Barnes Noble Volatility and Barnes Noble Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Barnes Noble.
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Is Barnes Noble's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barnes Noble. If investors know Barnes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barnes Noble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Barnes Noble Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barnes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barnes Noble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barnes Noble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barnes Noble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barnes Noble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barnes Noble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Barnes Noble value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barnes Noble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Barnes Noble 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Barnes Noble's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Barnes Noble.
0.00
08/29/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
09/28/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Barnes Noble on August 29, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Barnes Noble Education or generate 0.0% return on investment in Barnes Noble over 30 days. Barnes Noble is related to or competes with Best Buy. Barnes Noble Education, Inc. operates bookstores for college and university campuses, and K-12 institutions in the Unite... More

Barnes Noble Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Barnes Noble's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Barnes Noble Education upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Barnes Noble Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Barnes Noble's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Barnes Noble's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Barnes Noble historical prices to predict the future Barnes Noble's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barnes Noble's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Barnes Noble in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.122.346.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.554.758.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0378221.896.09
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.0012.0012.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Barnes Noble. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Barnes Noble's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Barnes Noble's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Barnes Noble Education.

Barnes Noble Education Backtested Returns

Barnes Noble Education secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0581, which signifies that the company had -0.0581% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards foreseeing the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Barnes Noble Education exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm Barnes Noble Education risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Mean Deviation of 3.16 to double-check the risk estimate we provide.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.4734, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Barnes's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Barnes Noble will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Barnes Noble Education historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Barnes Noble Education exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Barnes Noble Education has an expected return of -0.24%. Please be advised to confirm Barnes Noble Education value at risk, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Barnes Noble Education performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.91  

Near perfect reversele predictability

Barnes Noble Education has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Barnes Noble time series from 29th of August 2022 to 13th of September 2022 and 13th of September 2022 to 28th of September 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Barnes Noble Education price movement. The serial correlation of -0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Barnes Noble price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.91
Spearman Rank Test-0.86
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.05

Barnes Noble Education lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Barnes Noble stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Barnes Noble's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Barnes Noble returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Barnes Noble stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Barnes Noble regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Barnes Noble stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Barnes Noble stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Barnes Noble stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Barnes Noble Lagged Returns

When evaluating Barnes Noble's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Barnes Noble stock have on its future price. Barnes Noble autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Barnes Noble autocorrelation shows the relationship between Barnes Noble stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Barnes Noble Education.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Barnes Noble in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Barnes Noble's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Barnes Noble options trading.

Pair Trading with Barnes Noble

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Barnes Noble position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Barnes Noble will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Barnes Noble could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Barnes Noble when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Barnes Noble - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Barnes Noble Education to buy it.
The correlation of Barnes Noble is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Barnes Noble moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Barnes Noble Education moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Barnes Noble can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Barnes Noble Correlation, Barnes Noble Volatility and Barnes Noble Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Barnes Noble. Note that the Barnes Noble Education information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Barnes Noble's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running Barnes Noble Education price analysis, check to measure Barnes Noble's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Barnes Noble is operating at the current time. Most of Barnes Noble's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Barnes Noble's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Barnes Noble's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Barnes Noble to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Barnes Noble technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Barnes Noble technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Barnes Noble trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...